Matchup Machine

Orlando Arcia

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matchup for John Means

110th out of 436 (Best 26%)

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John Means

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matchup for Orlando Arcia

190th out of 567 (Best 34%)

Leans in favor of Arcia
2

Model Prediction

Orlando Arcia has a 29.3% chance of reaching base vs John Means, which is 0.7% lower than Arcia's typical expectations, and 1.6% lower than batters facing Means.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.3%22.9%3.6%5.3%14.1%6.4%23.5%
Arcia-0.7+1.2+1.1+0.8-0.6-1.9-1.8
Means-1.6-1.1+0.2-1.30.0-0.5+2.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Orlando Arcia is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. John Means is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Arcia has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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John Means throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Orlando Arcia has a D grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
49%
   Changeup (L)
28%
   Slider (L)
12%
   Curve (L)
11%

Contact and Outcomes

13.9% of Orlando Arcia's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.2% lower than the league average. John Means strikes out 14.7% of the batters he faces, which is 0.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.2% -0.2% 4%         Walk -0.4% -2.7% 39%         In Play +1.6% +2.9% 39%         On Base -1.8% -4.8% 31%         Hit -1.4% -2.0% 14%         Single -0.6% -1.5% 13%         2B / 3B -0.6% -1.1% 3%         Home Run -0.2% +0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years