Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Orlando Arcia

matchup for Chris Bassitt

61st out of 436 (Best 15%)

Chris Bassitt

matchup for Orlando Arcia

275th out of 567 (Best 49%)

Leans in favor of Bassitt

Orlando Arcia has a 32.3% chance of reaching base vs Chris Bassitt, which is 2.3% higher than Arcia's typical expectations, and 3.0% lower than batters facing Bassitt.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.3%	22.9%	1.7%	4.1%	17.1%	9.4%	26.0%
Arcia	+2.3	+1.1	-0.7	-0.5	+2.3	+1.1	+0.6
Bassitt	-3.0	-1.4	-0.5	-1.1	+0.2	-1.5	+2.5

Orlando Arcia is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Chris Bassitt is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Arcia has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

Chris Bassitt throws a Sinker 38% of the time. Orlando Arcia has a B grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

38%

Cutter (R)

17%

Slider (R)

14%

Curve (R)

13%

4-Seam (R)

10%

Changeup (R)

12% of Chris Bassitt's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Orlando Arcia has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 12%

+4%

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Meatball 4%

-3%

33% of Chris Bassitt's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 19% higher than the MLB average. Orlando Arcia has a B- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Break 33%

+19%

Slow Lob 20%

+18%

Low Ride 39%

+15%

Fastball (R) 64%

+11%

13.9% of Orlando Arcia's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.2% lower than the league average. Chris Bassitt strikes out 15.3% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -1.2% -0.4% 4%

Walk -0.4% +0.1% 39%

In Play +1.6% +0.3% 39%

On Base -1.8% +1.5% 31%

Hit -1.4% +1.4% 14%

Single -0.6% +0.8% 13%

2B / 3B -0.6% +1.0% 3%

Home Run -0.2% -0.4%

42.6% of Orlando Arcia's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 8.2% higher than the league average. Chris Bassitt induces Standard Grounders at a 35.6% rate, which is 1.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt 0.0% +0.5% 34%

Standard Grounder +8.2% +1.2% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.7% +0.4% 14%

Low Screamer -0.6% +1.4% 9%

Rising Liner -0.3% +1.3% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.6% -1.6% 3%

Likely Homer -1.1% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter -0.8% -0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout -3.5% -2.7% 3%

Pop up +0.5% -0.3%

20.1% of Orlando Arcia's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.3% lower than the league average. 23.0% of batted balls allowed by Chris Bassitt are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.3% +1.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph +0.5% -0.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.9% +1.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.6% -1.5% 24%

Above 100 mph -4.3% -1.3%

8.1% of Orlando Arcia's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.4% lower than the league average. 10.7% of batted balls allowed by Chris Bassitt are hit at this angle, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +7.1% +0.2% 12%

-10 to 0° +1.6% +0.3% 8%

1 to 6° +0.4% +2.7% 18%

7 to 18° -1.0% +0.6% 15%

19 to 28° -2.9% -0.5% 11%

29 to 38° -3.4% -0.7% 7%

39 to 50° -1.8% -1.6% 8%

Above 50° +0.0% -0.9%

Orlando Arcia has 4 plate appearances against Chris Bassitt in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 4 with a strikeout.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	4	4	1	0	0	1	1	0	0.250
Expected From Contact →			0.59	0.00	0.01	0.59			0.148

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-05-12	Flyout				100%
2023-05-12	Strikeout
2023-05-12	Flyout			1%	98%
2022-10-02	Single			57%	43%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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