Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Orlando Arcia

matchup for Thyago Vieira

198th out of 436 (Best 46%)

Thyago Vieira

matchup for Orlando Arcia

187th out of 564 (Best 34%)

Leans in favor of Arcia

Orlando Arcia has a 33.3% chance of reaching base vs Thyago Vieira, which is 3.3% higher than Arcia's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Vieira.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	33.3%	20.1%	1.9%	3.9%	14.3%	13.3%	23.0%
Arcia	+3.3	-1.6	-0.6	-0.6	-0.5	+5.0	-2.3
Vieira	-0.4	-0.1	-0.4	-0.7	+1.0	-0.3	-1.4

Orlando Arcia is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Thyago Vieira is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Arcia has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

Thyago Vieira throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Orlando Arcia has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

42%

Slider (R)

30%

Sinker (R)

25%

14% of Thyago Vieira's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Orlando Arcia has a C+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Non-Competitive 14%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Chaser 4%

-2%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-3%

33% of Thyago Vieira's pitches are classified as Very Fast Velocity, which is 25% higher than the MLB average. Orlando Arcia has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Very Fast Velo 33%

+25%

Large Break 36%

+15%

Medium Ride 29%

+15%

Fastball (R) 67%

+13%

13.9% of Orlando Arcia's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.2% lower than the league average. Thyago Vieira strikes out 13.2% of the batters he faces, which is 2.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -1.2% -2.2% 4%

Walk -0.4% +4.2% 39%

In Play +1.6% -2.0% 39%

On Base -1.8% +1.5% 31%

Hit -1.4% -2.7% 14%

Single -0.6% -2.0% 13%

2B / 3B -0.6% -1.6% 3%

Home Run -0.2% +0.9%

42.6% of Orlando Arcia's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 8.2% higher than the league average. Thyago Vieira induces Standard Grounders at a 33.5% rate, which is 0.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt 0.0% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder +8.2% -0.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.7% -2.6% 14%

Low Screamer -0.6% +0.1% 9%

Rising Liner -0.3% +0.9% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.6% +0.3% 3%

Likely Homer -1.1% -0.4% 1%

No Doubter -0.8% -0.9% 20%

Routine Flyout -3.5% +3.7% 3%

Pop up +0.5% +0.1%

20.1% of Orlando Arcia's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.3% lower than the league average. 24.1% of batted balls allowed by Thyago Vieira are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.3% +1.7% 21%

75 to 86 mph +0.5% -4.7% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.9% +0.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.6% +2.9% 24%

Above 100 mph -4.3% -0.2%

8.1% of Orlando Arcia's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.4% lower than the league average. 9.9% of batted balls allowed by Thyago Vieira are hit at this angle, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +7.1% +2.7% 12%

-10 to 0° +1.6% -2.8% 8%

1 to 6° +0.4% -1.4% 18%

7 to 18° -1.0% -2.5% 15%

19 to 28° -2.9% +3.0% 11%

29 to 38° -3.4% -1.6% 7%

39 to 50° -1.8% +1.4% 8%

Above 50° +0.0% +1.1%

Orlando Arcia has 1 plate appearance against Thyago Vieira in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.04	0.00	0.01	0.03			0.044

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-07-09	Forceout		1%	3%	96%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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