Matchup Machine

Nick Martini

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matchup for Jared Jones

131st out of 436 (Best 31%)

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Jared Jones

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matchup for Nick Martini

433rd out of 567 (Worst 24%)

Moderate advantage for Jones
4

Model Prediction

Nick Martini has a 29.5% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 0.8% lower than Martini's typical expectations, and 1.5% lower than batters facing Jones.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.5%19.8%2.5%4.7%12.6%9.7%32.2%
Martini-0.8-1.8-0.10.0-1.6+1.0+7.5
Jones-1.5-1.0-0.5-0.3-0.3-0.5+3.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Nick Martini is better vs right-handed pitching. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Martini has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Nick Martini has a D- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
35%
   Curve (R)
9%
   Changeup (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

13.6% of Nick Martini's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.6% lower than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.6% +0.4% 4%         Walk +0.7% +0.6% 39%         In Play +0.9% -1.1% 39%         On Base +2.3% -0.1% 31%         Hit +1.7% -0.8% 14%         Single +1.1% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B +1.2% -0.5% 3%         Home Run -0.6% +0.9%

History

No History in the last 3 years