Matchup Machine

Nick Martini

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matchup for Aaron Civale

129th out of 436 (Best 30%)

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Aaron Civale

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matchup for Nick Martini

406th out of 567 (Worst 29%)

Moderate advantage for Civale
3

Model Prediction

Nick Martini has a 28.0% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Civale, which is 2.3% lower than Martini's typical expectations, and 1.5% lower than batters facing Civale.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.0%20.5%2.8%3.7%13.9%7.5%23.0%
Martini-2.3-1.1+0.2-1.0-0.2-1.3-1.7
Civale-1.5-1.0-0.3-0.6-0.1-0.5+1.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Nick Martini is better vs right-handed pitching. Aaron Civale is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Martini doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Aaron Civale throws a Cutter 32% of the time. Nick Martini hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Cutter (R)
32%
   Sinker (R)
21%
   Curve (R)
20%
   4-Seam (R)
11%
   Slider (R)
10%

Contact and Outcomes

13.6% of Nick Martini's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.6% lower than the league average. Aaron Civale strikes out 16.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.6% +0.4% 4%         Walk +0.7% -1.3% 39%         In Play +0.9% +1.0% 39%         On Base +2.3% -0.9% 31%         Hit +1.7% +0.5% 14%         Single +1.1% 0.0% 13%         2B / 3B +1.2% +0.3% 3%         Home Run -0.6% +0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years