Matchup Machine

Nick Martini

sometext

matchup for Seth Lugo

122nd out of 436 (Best 29%)

sometext

Seth Lugo

sometext

matchup for Nick Martini

323rd out of 567 (Worst 43%)

Leans in favor of Lugo
1

Model Prediction

Nick Martini has a 30.8% chance of reaching base vs Seth Lugo, which is 0.5% higher than Martini's typical expectations, and 1.7% lower than batters facing Lugo.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.8%22.8%2.5%4.3%16.0%8.0%25.8%
Martini+0.5+1.2-0.2-0.4+1.8-0.8+1.2
Lugo-1.7-1.1-0.7-0.6+0.1-0.5+1.0

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Nick Martini is better vs right-handed pitching. Seth Lugo is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Martini has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Left Arrow
Show Vertical Release

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Seth Lugo throws a 4-seam fastball 29% of the time. Nick Martini has a D- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
29%
   Curve (R)
28%
   Sinker (R)
17%
   Slider (R)
13%
   Changeup (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

13.6% of Nick Martini's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.6% lower than the league average. Seth Lugo strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.6% +0.8% 4%         Walk +0.7% -2.3% 39%         In Play +0.9% +1.4% 39%         On Base +2.3% -0.4% 31%         Hit +1.7% +1.9% 14%         Single +1.1% +0.7% 13%         2B / 3B +1.2% +1.1% 3%         Home Run -0.6% +0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years