Matchup Machine

      Nick Martini

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      matchup for Colin Rea

      164th out of 436 (Best 38%)

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      Colin Rea

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      matchup for Nick Martini

      59th out of 564 (Best 11%)

      Strong advantage for Martini
      7

      Model Prediction

      Nick Martini has a 32.8% chance of reaching base vs Colin Rea, which is 2.3% higher than Martini's typical expectations, and 1.3% lower than batters facing Rea.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Nick Martini is better vs right-handed pitching. Colin Rea is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Martini has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Colin Rea throws a Sinker 29% of the time. Nick Martini hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
      29%
         Cutter (R)
      22%
         4-Seam (R)
      21%
         Slider (R)
      13%
         Splitter (R)
      8%
         Curve (R)
      7%

      Contact and Outcomes

      13.8% of Nick Martini's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.4% lower than the league average. Colin Rea strikes out 13.3% of the batters he faces, which is 3.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.4% -3.4% 4%         Walk +0.7% -1.8% 39%         In Play +0.7% +5.2% 39%         On Base +2.0% +1.3% 31%         Hit +1.3% +3.1% 14%         Single +0.9% +0.8% 13%         2B / 3B +1.1% +1.1% 3%         Home Run -0.7% +1.1%

      History

      Nick Martini has 2 plate appearances against Colin Rea in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a strikeout.

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual220000100.000
      Expected From Contact →0.010.000.010.000.003
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2024-06-16Strikeout
      2024-06-16Flyout99%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.