Matchup Machine

Nick Martini

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matchup for Aaron Nola

52nd out of 436 (Best 13%)

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Aaron Nola

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matchup for Nick Martini

523rd out of 567 (Worst 8%)

Strong advantage for Nola
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Model Prediction

Nick Martini has a 25.6% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Nola, which is 4.8% lower than Martini's typical expectations, and 3.9% lower than batters facing Nola.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction25.6%19.6%2.6%4.9%12.1%6.0%33.5%
Martini-4.8-2.00.0+0.1-2.0-2.8+8.9
Nola-3.9-2.8-0.4-1.4-1.0-1.1+2.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Nick Martini is better vs right-handed pitching. Aaron Nola is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Martini has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Aaron Nola throws a Kn-Curve 30% of the time. Nick Martini hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Kn-Curve (R)
30%
   4-Seam (R)
30%
   Sinker (R)
20%
   Changeup (R)
12%
   Cutter (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

13.6% of Nick Martini's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.6% lower than the league average. Aaron Nola strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.6% +6.3% 4%         Walk +0.7% -2.8% 39%         In Play +0.9% -3.5% 39%         On Base +2.3% -4.8% 31%         Hit +1.7% -2.0% 14%         Single +1.1% -0.8% 13%         2B / 3B +1.2% -0.7% 3%         Home Run -0.6% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years