Matchup Machine

Nick Martini

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matchup for Caleb Thielbar

144th out of 436 (Best 34%)

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Caleb Thielbar

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matchup for Nick Martini

334th out of 567 (Worst 41%)

Leans in favor of Thielbar
1

Model Prediction

Nick Martini has a 29.8% chance of reaching base vs Caleb Thielbar, which is 0.6% lower than Martini's typical expectations, and 2.1% lower than batters facing Thielbar.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.8%20.9%3.2%5.0%12.8%8.8%29.1%
Martini-0.6-0.6+0.5+0.2-1.4+0.1+4.4
Thielbar-2.1-0.8-0.10.0-0.7-1.3+1.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Nick Martini is worse vs left-handed pitching. Caleb Thielbar is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Martini doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Caleb Thielbar throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Nick Martini hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
49%
   Slider (L)
29%
   Curve (L)
22%

Contact and Outcomes

13.6% of Nick Martini's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.6% lower than the league average. Caleb Thielbar strikes out 18.8% of the batters he faces, which is 5.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.6% +5.2% 4%         Walk +0.7% +1.9% 39%         In Play +0.9% -7.1% 39%         On Base +2.3% -6.1% 31%         Hit +1.7% -8.0% 14%         Single +1.1% -4.3% 13%         2B / 3B +1.2% -3.9% 3%         Home Run -0.6% +0.2%

History

No History in the last 3 years