Matchup Machine

Nick Martini

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matchup for Marcus Stroman

271st out of 436 (Worst 38%)

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Marcus Stroman

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matchup for Nick Martini

13th out of 567 (Best 3%)

Extreme advantage for Martini
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Model Prediction

Nick Martini has a 38.0% chance of reaching base vs Marcus Stroman, which is 7.7% higher than Martini's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Stroman.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction38.0%28.7%2.6%5.9%20.3%9.4%16.3%
Martini+7.7+7.1-0.1+1.1+6.1+0.6-8.3
Stroman+0.4-0.2-0.2+0.00.0+0.6-1.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Nick Martini is better vs right-handed pitching. Marcus Stroman is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Martini doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Marcus Stroman throws a Sinker 40% of the time. Nick Martini hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
40%
   Slider (R)
18%
   Cutter (R)
15%
   Splitter (R)
11%
   Curve (R)
10%
   4-Seam (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

13.6% of Nick Martini's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.6% lower than the league average. Marcus Stroman strikes out 13.5% of the batters he faces, which is 3.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.6% -3.1% 4%         Walk +0.7% -0.8% 39%         In Play +0.9% +3.9% 39%         On Base +2.3% +3.0% 31%         Hit +1.7% +3.8% 14%         Single +1.1% +2.4% 13%         2B / 3B +1.2% +2.4% 3%         Home Run -0.6% -1.1%

History

Nick Martini has 2 plate appearances against Marcus Stroman in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 1 with a home run, a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual211100011.000
Expected From Contact →0.880.330.540.010.884
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-07-04Home Run33%54%12%
2024-07-04Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.