Matchup Machine

Nick Martini

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matchup for Tyler Anderson

341st out of 436 (Worst 22%)

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Tyler Anderson

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matchup for Nick Martini

47th out of 567 (Best 9%)

Strong advantage for Martini
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Model Prediction

Nick Martini has a 35.0% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 4.7% higher than Martini's typical expectations, and 1.2% higher than batters facing Anderson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.0%23.7%3.5%5.6%14.7%11.2%21.0%
Martini+4.7+2.2+0.9+0.8+0.5+2.5-3.6
Anderson+1.2+1.5+0.6+0.3+0.6-0.2-0.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Nick Martini is worse vs left-handed pitching. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Martini doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Nick Martini hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
38%
   Changeup (L)
32%
   Cutter (L)
22%
   Sinker (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

13.6% of Nick Martini's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.6% lower than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.6% -1.9% 4%         Walk +0.7% -1.0% 39%         In Play +0.9% +2.9% 39%         On Base +2.3% -0.1% 31%         Hit +1.7% +0.9% 14%         Single +1.1% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B +1.2% +0.6% 3%         Home Run -0.6% -0.2%

History

Nick Martini has 6 plate appearances against Tyler Anderson in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 5 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual650000110.000
Expected From Contact →0.810.000.070.730.162
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-04-19Flyout3%17%80%
2024-04-19Flyout100%
2024-04-19Groundout56%44%
2023-08-23Strikeout
2023-08-23Walk
2023-08-23Flyout4%95%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.