Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

J.D. Davis

matchup for Jared Jones

108th out of 436 (Best 26%)

Jared Jones

matchup for J.D. Davis

347th out of 567 (Worst 39%)

Moderate advantage for Jones

J.D. Davis has a 30.1% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 0.1% higher than Davis's typical expectations, and 0.9% lower than batters facing Jones.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.1%	18.8%	2.2%	3.7%	12.9%	11.3%	31.8%
Davis	-0.1	-1.8	+0.2	-0.6	-1.3	+1.6	+2.8
Jones	-0.9	-2.0	-0.8	-1.3	+0.1	+1.1	+3.3

J.D. Davis is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Davis has a B+ grade vs this particular release point.

Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. J.D. Davis has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

49%

Slider (R)

35%

Curve (R)

Changeup (R)

17% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. J.D. Davis has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 17%

+6%

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 6%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-4%

36% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. J.D. Davis has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 36%

+16%

Extreme Fast Velo 18%

+15%

Breaking (R) 44%

+13%

High Ride 22%

+11%

16.1% of J.D. Davis's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.5% higher than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.5% +0.4% 4%

Walk +1.0% +0.6% 41%

In Play -3.5% -1.1% 39%

On Base -0.7% -0.1% 31%

Hit -1.7% -0.8% 14%

Single -1.0% -1.1% 13%

2B / 3B -0.5% -0.5% 3%

Home Run -0.2% +0.9%

37.9% of J.D. Davis's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.5% higher than the league average. Jared Jones induces Standard Grounders at a 30.0% rate, which is 4.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.5% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder +3.5% -4.4% 7%

Hard Grounder +3.7% +0.4% 14%

Low Screamer -5.0% -2.4% 9%

Rising Liner -0.3% +1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.3% +1.5% 3%

Likely Homer +1.2% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter +0.0% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.7% +1.5% 3%

Pop up -1.2% +2.5%

31.5% of J.D. Davis's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 7.2% higher than the league average. 24.7% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -3.4% +1.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.2% -4.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.6% -2.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph +2.0% +5.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +7.2% +0.4%

12.0% of J.D. Davis's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 8.9% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%