Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

J.D. Davis

matchup for Bryce Miller

152nd out of 436 (Best 36%)

Bryce Miller

matchup for J.D. Davis

421st out of 567 (Worst 26%)

Strong advantage for Miller

J.D. Davis has a 28.9% chance of reaching base vs Bryce Miller, which is 1.4% lower than Davis's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Miller.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	28.9%	19.1%	2.0%	4.1%	13.0%	9.8%	34.1%
Davis	-1.4	-1.5	0.0	-0.2	-1.2	+0.1	+5.1
Miller	-0.3	-1.3	-0.3	-0.3	-0.8	+1.0	+4.3

J.D. Davis is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Bryce Miller is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Davis has a B+ grade vs this particular release point.

Bryce Miller throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. J.D. Davis has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

49%

Slider (R)

20%

Sinker (R)

13%

Splitter (R)

10%

8% of Bryce Miller's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. J.D. Davis has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Weak Challenge 7%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-2%

43% of Bryce Miller's pitches are classified as Fast Velocity, which is 28% higher than the MLB average. J.D. Davis has a D grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fast Velo 43%

+28%

High Ride 29%

+19%

Small Break 21%

+13%

Fastball (R) 64%

+10%

16.1% of J.D. Davis's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.5% higher than the league average. Bryce Miller strikes out 15.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.5% +0.2% 4%

Walk +1.0% -2.5% 41%

In Play -3.5% +2.3% 39%

On Base -0.7% -3.2% 31%

Hit -1.7% -0.7% 14%

Single -1.0% -0.8% 13%

2B / 3B -0.5% -0.4% 3%

Home Run -0.2% +0.5%

37.9% of J.D. Davis's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.5% higher than the league average. Bryce Miller induces Standard Grounders at a 30.4% rate, which is 4.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.5% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder +3.5% -4.0% 7%

Hard Grounder +3.7% +2.0% 14%

Low Screamer -5.0% -2.4% 9%

Rising Liner -0.3% +1.4% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.3% +0.9% 3%

Likely Homer +1.2% -1.2% 1%

No Doubter +0.0% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.7% +5.4% 3%

Pop up -1.2% -0.9%

31.5% of J.D. Davis's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 7.2% higher than the league average. 25.8% of batted balls allowed by Bryce Miller are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -3.4% -2.2% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.2% -3.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.6% -0.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph +2.0% +5.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +7.2% +1.5%

12.0% of J.D. Davis's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 8.9% of batted balls allowed by Bryce Miller are hit at this angle, which is 2.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%