Matchup Machine

J.D. Davis

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matchup for C. Sanchez

21st out of 436 (Best 6%)

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Cristopher Sanchez

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matchup for J.D. Davis

527th out of 567 (Worst 7%)

Extreme advantage for Sanchez
9

Model Prediction

J.D. Davis has a 24.3% chance of reaching base vs Cristopher Sanchez, which is 5.9% lower than Davis's typical expectations, and 4.2% lower than batters facing Sanchez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction24.3%18.4%1.6%4.3%12.4%6.0%34.0%
Davis-5.9-2.2-0.40.0-1.8-3.7+5.0
Sanchez-4.2-4.0-0.7-0.8-2.4-0.2+8.3

Handedness and Release Point

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J.D. Davis is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Cristopher Sanchez is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Davis has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Cristopher Sanchez throws a Sinker 49% of the time. J.D. Davis has an A- grade against left-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
49%
   Changeup (L)
32%
   Slider (L)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

16.1% of J.D. Davis's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.5% higher than the league average. Cristopher Sanchez strikes out 14.4% of the batters he faces, which is 2.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +2.5% -2.7% 4%         Walk +1.0% -2.4% 41%         In Play -3.5% +5.1% 39%         On Base -0.7% +1.4% 31%         Hit -1.7% +3.7% 14%         Single -1.0% +2.2% 13%         2B / 3B -0.5% +2.6% 3%         Home Run -0.2% -1.0%

History

J.D. Davis has 1 plate appearance against Cristopher Sanchez in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 0 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual100000010.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2022-05-08Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.