Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

J.D. Davis

matchup for Brad Keller

75th out of 436 (Best 18%)

Brad Keller

matchup for J.D. Davis

176th out of 567 (Best 32%)

Leans in favor of Keller

J.D. Davis has a 31.3% chance of reaching base vs Brad Keller, which is 1.0% higher than Davis's typical expectations, and 1.5% lower than batters facing Keller.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.3%	20.7%	1.8%	4.8%	14.1%	10.5%	22.8%
Davis	+1.0	+0.2	-0.1	+0.5	-0.2	+0.9	-6.2
Keller	-1.5	-2.0	-1.1	-0.1	-0.7	+0.5	+2.9

J.D. Davis is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Brad Keller is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Davis has a B+ grade vs this particular release point.

Brad Keller throws a 4-seam fastball 36% of the time. J.D. Davis has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

36%

Slider (R)

34%

Sinker (R)

16%

13% of Brad Keller's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. J.D. Davis has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 13%

+4%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

Fringe Miss 12%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Strong Challenge 3%

-2%

Mid Challenge 10%

-2%

Meatball 5%

-2%

39% of Brad Keller's pitches are classified as Low Ride, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. J.D. Davis has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Low Ride 39%

+16%

Small Break 25%

+14%

Medium Fast Velo 27%

+12%

16.1% of J.D. Davis's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.5% higher than the league average. Brad Keller strikes out 11.7% of the batters he faces, which is 5.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.5% -5.3% 4%

Walk +1.0% +0.7% 41%

In Play -3.5% +4.6% 39%

On Base -0.7% +4.5% 31%

Hit -1.7% +3.8% 14%

Single -1.0% +2.0% 13%

2B / 3B -0.5% +2.3% 3%

Home Run -0.2% -0.5%

37.9% of J.D. Davis's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.5% higher than the league average. Brad Keller induces Standard Grounders at a 42.2% rate, which is 7.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.5% +0.6% 34%

Standard Grounder +3.5% +7.8% 7%

Hard Grounder +3.7% +0.8% 14%

Low Screamer -5.0% -0.2% 9%

Rising Liner -0.3% -3.7% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.3% +0.6% 3%

Likely Homer +1.2% -1.0% 1%

No Doubter +0.0% +1.0% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.7% -4.3% 3%

Pop up -1.2% -1.6%

31.5% of J.D. Davis's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 7.2% higher than the league average. 25.4% of batted balls allowed by Brad Keller are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -3.4% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.2% +1.8% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.6% -2.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph +2.0% -0.9% 24%

Above 100 mph +7.2% +1.1%

12.0% of J.D. Davis's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 9.4% of batted balls allowed by Brad Keller are hit at this angle, which is 2.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%