Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

J.D. Davis

matchup for N. Cortes Jr.

33rd out of 436 (Best 8%)

Nestor Cortes Jr.

matchup for J.D. Davis

369th out of 567 (Worst 35%)

Moderate advantage for Cortes Jr.

J.D. Davis has a 28.8% chance of reaching base vs Nestor Cortes Jr., which is 1.5% lower than Davis's typical expectations, and 2.8% lower than batters facing Cortes Jr..

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	28.8%	18.9%	2.6%	4.0%	12.3%	9.9%	31.6%
Davis	-1.5	-1.7	+0.6	-0.4	-2.0	+0.2	+2.6
Cortes Jr.	-2.8	-2.9	-0.7	-1.4	-0.8	+0.2	+7.7

J.D. Davis is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Nestor Cortes Jr. is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Davis has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

Nestor Cortes Jr. throws a 4-seam fastball 45% of the time. J.D. Davis has a D grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

45%

Cutter (L)

24%

Slider (L)

20%

Changeup (L)

19% of Nestor Cortes Jr.'s pitches are classified as Edge Painters, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. J.D. Davis has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Meatball 6%

+0%

Chaser 6%

+0%

Likely Ball 19%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-1%

Weak Challenge 6%

-3%

72% of Nestor Cortes Jr.'s pitches are classified as Fastball Pitches, which is 17% higher than the MLB average. J.D. Davis has a C grade against this type of pitch from left handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fastball (L) 72%

+17%

High Ride 22%

+12%

Small Break 18%

+10%

16.1% of J.D. Davis's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.5% higher than the league average. Nestor Cortes Jr. strikes out 15.7% of the batters he faces, which is 0.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.5% -0.1% 4%

Walk +1.0% -0.6% 41%

In Play -3.5% +0.6% 39%

On Base -0.7% -2.1% 31%

Hit -1.7% -1.6% 14%

Single -1.0% -1.7% 13%

2B / 3B -0.5% -1.3% 3%

Home Run -0.2% +1.5%

37.9% of J.D. Davis's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.5% higher than the league average. Nestor Cortes Jr. induces Standard Grounders at a 27.5% rate, which is 7.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.5% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder +3.5% -7.0% 7%

Hard Grounder +3.7% -0.8% 14%

Low Screamer -5.0% +2.4% 9%

Rising Liner -0.3% -2.1% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.3% +0.7% 3%

Likely Homer +1.2% +0.2% 1%

No Doubter +0.0% +0.4% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.7% +1.2% 3%

Pop up -1.2% +5.1%

31.5% of J.D. Davis's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 7.2% higher than the league average. 24.0% of batted balls allowed by Nestor Cortes Jr. are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -3.4% +0.8% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.2% +2.3% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.6% -4.1% 19%

94 to 99 mph +2.0% +1.3% 24%

Above 100 mph +7.2% -0.3%

12.0% of J.D. Davis's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 13.2% of batted balls allowed by Nestor Cortes Jr. are hit at this angle, which is 1.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%