Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Victor Caratini

matchup for Ryan Weathers

293rd out of 436 (Worst 33%)

Ryan Weathers

matchup for Victor Caratini

378th out of 567 (Worst 34%)

Leans in favor of Caratini

Victor Caratini has a 31.5% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 0.8% lower than Caratini's typical expectations, and 1.6% higher than batters facing Weathers.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.5%	24.5%	1.5%	5.0%	18.1%	7.0%	20.0%
Caratini	-0.8	+0.5	-0.5	+0.0	+1.1	-1.3	-1.0
Weathers	+1.6	+3.0	-0.6	-0.6	+4.2	-1.4	-4.7

Victor Caratini is worse vs left-handed pitching. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Caratini has an F grade vs this particular release point.

Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Victor Caratini has a D grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

44%

Slider (L)

25%

Changeup (L)

18%

Sinker (L)

13%

12% of Ryan Weathers's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Victor Caratini has an A- grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

Edge Painter 17%

Weak Challenge 8%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-1%

53% of Ryan Weathers's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 32% higher than the MLB average. Victor Caratini has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 53%

+32%

Fast Velo 28%

+19%

Low Ride 37%

+14%

12.3% of Victor Caratini's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.9% lower than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -3.9% -2.1% 4%

Walk +0.3% -0.6% 38%

In Play +3.6% +2.7% 39%

On Base +6.9% +0.9% 31%

Hit +6.6% +1.5% 14%

Single +3.4% +0.9% 13%

2B / 3B +3.8% +1.2% 3%

Home Run -0.6% -0.5%

39.8% of Victor Caratini's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.4% higher than the league average. Ryan Weathers induces Standard Grounders at a 40.1% rate, which is 5.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.2% +0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder +5.4% +5.7% 7%

Hard Grounder +3.0% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer -1.8% -1.1% 9%

Rising Liner -1.0% -1.3% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.6% +1.4% 3%

Likely Homer +0.5% -0.7% 1%

No Doubter -0.6% +0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout -3.2% -5.5% 3%

Pop up -0.6% +1.2%

30.1% of Victor Caratini's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.8% higher than the league average. 25.4% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Weathers are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.4% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.1% +1.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -0.3% -0.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph -3.0% -2.0% 24%

Above 100 mph +5.8% +1.1%

10.9% of Victor Caratini's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% lower than the league average. 7.7% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Weathers are hit at this angle, which is 3.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%