Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Victor Caratini

matchup for Luis Severino

225th out of 436 (Worst 49%)

Luis Severino

matchup for Victor Caratini

441st out of 567 (Worst 22%)

Leans in favor of Severino

Victor Caratini has a 30.4% chance of reaching base vs Luis Severino, which is 1.9% lower than Caratini's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Severino.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.4%	22.7%	1.7%	3.9%	17.1%	7.8%	20.7%
Caratini	-1.9	-1.3	-0.3	-1.1	+0.0	-0.6	-0.3
Severino	+0.3	+1.4	-0.7	-0.2	+2.3	-1.0	-2.5

Victor Caratini is better vs right-handed pitching. Luis Severino is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Caratini has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

Luis Severino throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Victor Caratini has a B+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

44%

Slider (R)

27%

Changeup (R)

14%

Sinker (R)

Cutter (R)

14% of Luis Severino's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Victor Caratini has an A- grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Weak Challenge 8%

Likely Ball 19%

-1%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

Meatball 3%

-3%

27% of Luis Severino's pitches are classified as Very Fast Velocity, which is 19% higher than the MLB average. Victor Caratini has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Very Fast Velo 27%

+19%

Medium Break 36%

+16%

Medium Ride 24%

+10%

12.3% of Victor Caratini's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.9% lower than the league average. Luis Severino strikes out 16.2% of the batters he faces, which is 0.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -3.9% +0.9% 4%

Walk +0.3% -1.1% 38%

In Play +3.6% +0.2% 39%

On Base +6.9% -0.9% 31%

Hit +6.6% +0.2% 14%

Single +3.4% +0.2% 13%

2B / 3B +3.8% +0.4% 3%

Home Run -0.6% -0.5%

39.8% of Victor Caratini's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.4% higher than the league average. Luis Severino induces Standard Grounders at a 35.9% rate, which is 1.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.2% +0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder +5.4% +1.5% 7%

Hard Grounder +3.0% -0.2% 14%

Low Screamer -1.8% +3.2% 9%

Rising Liner -1.0% -0.3% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.6% -0.4% 3%

Likely Homer +0.5% -1.3% 1%

No Doubter -0.6% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout -3.2% -1.4% 3%

Pop up -0.6% -0.7%

30.1% of Victor Caratini's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.8% higher than the league average. 23.8% of batted balls allowed by Luis Severino are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.4% +2.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.1% +0.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -0.3% -3.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph -3.0% +1.5% 24%

Above 100 mph +5.8% -0.5%

10.9% of Victor Caratini's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% lower than the league average. 10.1% of batted balls allowed by Luis Severino are hit at this angle, which is 1.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%