Matchup Machine

Mookie Betts

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matchup for Logan Allen

432nd out of 436 (Worst 1%)

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Logan Allen

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matchup for Mookie Betts

135th out of 567 (Best 25%)

Extreme advantage for Betts
10

Model Prediction

Mookie Betts has a 38.5% chance of reaching base vs Logan Allen, which is 0.7% higher than Betts's typical expectations, and 3.4% higher than batters facing Allen.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction38.5%27.5%4.0%6.9%16.6%10.9%9.1%
Betts+0.7+2.6+0.5+0.7+1.4-1.9-3.7
Allen+3.4+1.5+1.2+1.1-0.7+1.9-8.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Mookie Betts is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Logan Allen is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Betts has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Logan Allen throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Mookie Betts has a C+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
38%
   Slider (L)
28%
   Changeup (L)
14%
   Curve (L)
7%
   Cutter (L)
5%

Contact and Outcomes

6.5% of Mookie Betts's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 13.7% lower than the league average. Logan Allen strikes out 12.8% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 20%         Strikeout -13.7% -2.6% 3%         Walk +2.1% +1.3% 35%         In Play +11.6% +1.3% 39%         On Base +8.5% +6.7% 31%         Hit +6.4% +5.4% 14%         Single +2.2% +2.7% 13%         2B / 3B +2.8% +3.1% 3%         Home Run +1.4% -0.5%

History

Mookie Betts has 1 plate appearance against Logan Allen in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 0 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual100000010.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-04-29Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.