Matchup Machine

Mookie Betts

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matchup for Logan Webb

433rd out of 436 (Worst 1%)

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Logan Webb

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matchup for Mookie Betts

206th out of 567 (Best 37%)

Extreme advantage for Betts
10

Model Prediction

Mookie Betts has a 39.1% chance of reaching base vs Logan Webb, which is 1.3% higher than Betts's typical expectations, and 6.9% higher than batters facing Webb.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction39.1%27.3%3.3%6.9%17.1%11.8%12.2%
Betts+1.3+2.4-0.2+0.7+1.9-1.0-0.6
Webb+6.9+2.6+0.9+1.80.0+4.3-9.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Mookie Betts is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Logan Webb is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Betts has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Logan Webb throws a Sinker 36% of the time. Mookie Betts has an A+ grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
36%
   Changeup (R)
34%
   Slider (R)
25%

Contact and Outcomes

6.5% of Mookie Betts's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 13.7% lower than the league average. Logan Webb strikes out 15.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 20%         Strikeout -13.7% -0.8% 3%         Walk +2.1% -2.4% 35%         In Play +11.6% +3.2% 39%         On Base +8.5% +1.6% 31%         Hit +6.4% +4.0% 14%         Single +2.2% +2.5% 13%         2B / 3B +2.8% +2.8% 3%         Home Run +1.4% -1.3%

History

Mookie Betts has 25 plate appearances against Logan Webb in the last 3 years. He is 10 for 25 with 2 home runs and 2 doubles and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual252510226100.400
Expected From Contact →9.991.162.426.420.400
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-15Single3%75%22%
2024-05-15Groundout13%87%
2024-05-15Flyout14%10%75%
2024-04-02Flyout100%
2024-04-02Home Run10%68%2%20%
2024-04-02Single77%23%
2023-06-18Groundout19%80%
2023-06-18Strikeout
2023-06-18Groundout16%84%
2023-06-18Flyout99%
2023-04-10Home Run68%24%2%6%
2023-04-10Single2%70%28%
2023-04-10Lineout11%65%24%
2022-09-16Lineout6%20%74%
2022-09-16Single3%57%40%
2022-09-16Flyout2%97%
2022-09-05Field Error
2022-09-05Lineout9%6%85%
2022-09-05Double2%47%20%31%
2022-08-01Forceout18%82%
2022-08-01Double3%43%6%48%
2022-08-01Groundout20%80%
2022-07-22Single6%72%22%
2022-07-22Flyout18%5%77%
2022-07-22Single84%16%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.