Matchup Machine

Mookie Betts

Worst 1% of matchups for Austin Gomber

Austin Gomber

Best 23% of matchups for Mookie Betts

Extreme advantage for Betts

+10

Model Prediction
Prediction	4.1%	5.0%	17.6%	10.1%	9.6%
MLB (+/-)	+1.2	+0.7	+3.6	+0.3	-15.6
Betts	+0.2	-0.0	+2.0	-2.0	-6.8
Gomber	+0.8	+0.6	+1.3	+2.2	-6.8

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

4.1%

5.0%

17.6%

10.1%

9.6%

MLB (+/-)

+1.2

+0.7

+3.6

+0.3

-15.6

Betts

+0.2

-0.0

+2.0

-2.0

-6.8

Gomber

+0.8

+0.6

+1.3

+2.2

-6.8

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	8	5	2	0	1	1	0	3	.400
Expected From Contact →			2.43	0.02	1.48	0.93			.487

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-08-11	Double	2%	72%	17%	9%
2023-08-11	Walk
2023-08-11	Single		75%	9%	16%
2022-10-05	Flyout				100%
2022-10-05	Flyout				100%
2022-07-28	Groundout			66%	33%
2021-04-04	Walk
2021-04-04	Walk

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
⭐⭐	38%	113	RHB vs LHP	-14	80%

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

⭐⭐

38%

113

RHB vs LHP

-14

80%

	Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
⭐⭐	37%	108	Fastball	16	45%
⭐⭐	21%	105	Breaking	-26	37%
⭐	9%	70	Offspeed	0	18%
			------------------
⭐⭐	37%	109	Four-Seam FB	-3	44%
⭐⭐	45%	105	Slider	-6	20%
⭐	52%	77	Changeup	0	18%
⭐⭐	48%	82	Knuckle-Curve	-94	17%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

⭐⭐

37%

108

Fastball

45%

⭐⭐

21%

105

Breaking

-26

37%

⭐

Offspeed

18%

------------------

⭐⭐

37%

109

Four-Seam FB

-3

44%

⭐⭐

45%

105

Slider

-6

20%

⭐

52%

Changeup

18%

⭐⭐

48%

Knuckle-Curve

-94

17%

	Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
⭐⭐	65%	109	Bottom of zone	13	13%
⭐⭐	62%	97	Top of zone	-3	12%
⭐	62%	71	Away / Arm Side	9	11%
	50%	38	In / Glove Side	-29	10%
⭐	77%	62	Middle	-23	7%

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

⭐⭐

65%

109

Bottom of zone

13%

⭐⭐

62%

Top of zone

-3

12%

⭐

62%

Away / Arm Side

11%

50%

In / Glove Side

-29

10%

⭐

77%

Middle

-23

	Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
⭐⭐	35%	86	Below the zone	22	30%
⭐⭐	21%	123	In / Glove Side	30	24%
	18%	23	Above the zone	8	24%
	21%	28	Away / Arm Side	-3	22%

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

⭐⭐

35%

Below the zone

30%

⭐⭐

21%

123

In / Glove Side

24%

18%

Above the zone

24%

21%

Away / Arm Side

-3

22%

	Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
⭐⭐	20%	81	First Pitch	10	28%
⭐⭐	48%	108	Batter Behind	0	28%
⭐⭐	46%	108	Batter Ahead	4	26%
⭐⭐	56%	95	2 Strikes	-23	26%
⭐⭐	54%	100	3 Balls	2	8%
⭐	64%	66	Full Count	-9	4%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

⭐⭐

20%

First Pitch

28%

⭐⭐

48%

108

Batter Behind

28%

⭐⭐

46%

108

Batter Ahead

26%

⭐⭐

56%

2 Strikes

-23

26%

⭐⭐

54%

100

3 Balls

⭐

64%

Full Count

-9