Matchup Machine

Mookie Betts

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matchup for Dylan Floro

433rd out of 436 (Worst 1%)

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Dylan Floro

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matchup for Mookie Betts

115th out of 567 (Best 21%)

Extreme advantage for Betts
10

Model Prediction

Mookie Betts has a 39.2% chance of reaching base vs Dylan Floro, which is 1.4% higher than Betts's typical expectations, and 5.6% higher than batters facing Floro.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction39.2%29.6%3.9%6.7%19.1%9.6%9.4%
Betts+1.4+4.6+0.4+0.4+3.8-3.2-3.4
Floro+5.6+3.2+0.9+1.4+0.9+2.4-7.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Mookie Betts is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Dylan Floro is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Betts has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Dylan Floro throws a Sinker 41% of the time. Mookie Betts has an A+ grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
41%
   Slider (R)
24%
   4-Seam (R)
22%
   Changeup (R)
14%

Contact and Outcomes

6.5% of Mookie Betts's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 13.7% lower than the league average. Dylan Floro strikes out 13.9% of the batters he faces, which is 2.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 20%         Strikeout -13.7% -2.5% 3%         Walk +2.1% -1.6% 35%         In Play +11.6% +4.0% 39%         On Base +8.5% +3.4% 31%         Hit +6.4% +5.0% 14%         Single +2.2% +3.0% 13%         2B / 3B +2.8% +3.3% 3%         Home Run +1.4% -1.3%

History

Mookie Betts has 2 plate appearances against Dylan Floro in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 2 with a home run and a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual222110001.000
Expected From Contact →1.170.900.190.070.583
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2022-08-26Home Run90%5%5%
2022-08-19Triple14%7%78%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.