Matchup Machine

Josh Bell

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matchup for Clarke Schmidt

294th out of 436 (Worst 33%)

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Clarke Schmidt

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matchup for Josh Bell

413th out of 567 (Worst 27%)

Leans in favor of Bell
2

Model Prediction

Josh Bell has a 33.4% chance of reaching base vs Clarke Schmidt, which is 0.1% higher than Bell's typical expectations, and 1.5% higher than batters facing Schmidt.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.4%19.5%2.7%3.3%13.5%13.9%25.3%
Bell+0.1-4.2-0.4-1.4-2.4+4.2+2.4
Schmidt+1.5-0.1+0.3-0.7+0.4+1.6+0.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Josh Bell is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Clarke Schmidt is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Bell has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Clarke Schmidt throws a Slider 28% of the time. Josh Bell has a C grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
28%
   Cutter (R)
24%
   Sinker (R)
23%
   Kn-Curve (R)
19%

Contact and Outcomes

12.8% of Josh Bell's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.0% lower than the league average. Clarke Schmidt strikes out 15.8% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -3.0% +0.3% 4%         Walk +0.5% +1.6% 39%         In Play +2.5% -1.9% 39%         On Base +2.4% -0.3% 31%         Hit +1.9% -2.0% 14%         Single +0.2% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B +0.4% -0.8% 3%         Home Run +1.2% 0.0%

History

Josh Bell has 4 plate appearances against Clarke Schmidt in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 3 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual432002010.667
Expected From Contact →1.590.000.011.580.529
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-05-03Single53%47%
2023-05-03Walk
2023-04-12Single46%54%
2023-04-12Groundout60%40%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.