Josh Bell has a 27.1% chance of reaching base vs Zack Wheeler, which is 6.5% lower than Bell's typical expectations, and 1.5% higher than batters facing Wheeler.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 27.1% | 17.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 33.8% |
Bell | -6.5 | -6.0 | +0.2 | -1.5 | -4.7 | -0.5 | +11.0 |
Wheeler | +1.5 | +1.1 | +0.3 | -0.1 | +0.9 | +0.4 | 0.0 |
Josh Bell is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Zack Wheeler is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Bell has a B grade vs this particular release point.
Zack Wheeler throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Josh Bell has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers
12.4% of Josh Bell's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.7% lower than the league average. Zack Wheeler strikes out 21.0% of the batters he faces, which is 7.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.
Josh Bell has 27 plate appearances against Zack Wheeler in the last 3 years. He is 8 for 25 with 3 home runs, a double and 2 walks
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 27 | 25 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0.320 |
Expected From Contact → | 8.30 | 2.48 | 1.27 | 4.55 | 0.332 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2025-03-27 | Strikeout | ||||
2025-03-27 | Forceout | ||||
2024-08-09 | Single | 1% | 3% | 96% | |
2024-08-09 | Strikeout | ||||
2024-08-09 | Strikeout | ||||
2024-06-27 | Groundout | 24% | 76% | ||
2024-06-27 | Lineout | 84% | 15% | ||
2024-06-27 | Strikeout | ||||
2024-05-12 | Walk | ||||
2024-05-12 | Home Run | 69% | 4% | 27% | |
2023-10-03 | Double | 4% | 58% | 26% | 11% |
2023-10-03 | Groundout | 31% | 68% | ||
2023-10-03 | Single | 36% | 63% | ||
2023-08-02 | Home Run | 80% | 13% | 2% | 5% |
2023-08-02 | Groundout | 10% | 90% | ||
2023-08-02 | Walk | ||||
2023-07-22 | Lineout | 8% | 91% | ||
2023-07-22 | Single | 33% | 64% | 4% | |
2023-07-22 | Strikeout | ||||
2022-10-23 | Strikeout | ||||
2022-10-23 | Lineout | 58% | 42% | ||
2022-10-18 | Strikeout | ||||
2022-10-18 | Lineout | 4% | 66% | 30% | |
2022-10-18 | Lineout | 5% | 3% | 92% | |
2022-06-16 | Strikeout | ||||
2022-06-16 | Home Run | 95% | 4% | 2% | |
2022-06-16 | Single | 2% | 40% | 58% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.