Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Austin Barnes

matchup for Tarik Skubal

210th out of 436 (Best 49%)

Tarik Skubal

matchup for Austin Barnes

520th out of 567 (Worst 8%)

Strong advantage for Skubal

Austin Barnes has a 25.5% chance of reaching base vs Tarik Skubal, which is 4.9% lower than Barnes's typical expectations, and 0.0% higher than batters facing Skubal.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	25.5%	20.4%	1.2%	4.3%	14.9%	5.1%	27.6%
Barnes	-4.9	-0.9	-0.1	-0.4	-0.4	-4.1	+4.3
Skubal	+0.0	+0.3	-0.9	+0.0	+1.2	-0.2	-4.1

Austin Barnes is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Tarik Skubal is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Barnes has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

Tarik Skubal throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Austin Barnes has a D grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

37%

Slider (L)

21%

Changeup (L)

20%

Sinker (L)

16%

Kn-Curve (L)

15% of Tarik Skubal's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Austin Barnes has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 15%

+4%

Weak Challenge 11%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Fringe Miss 12%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-2%

Likely Ball 17%

-3%

16% of Tarik Skubal's pitches are classified as Very Fast Velocity, which is 13% higher than the MLB average. Austin Barnes has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Very Fast Velo 16%

+13%

Medium Ride 23%

+9%

12.8% of Austin Barnes's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.0% lower than the league average. Tarik Skubal strikes out 20.4% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -3.0% +6.3% 4%

Walk +1.8% -3.3% 39%

In Play +1.2% -3.0% 39%

On Base +3.6% -6.0% 31%

Hit +1.8% -2.8% 14%

Single +1.5% -1.2% 13%

2B / 3B +1.9% -1.5% 3%

Home Run -1.7% -0.1%

42.1% of Austin Barnes's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 7.7% higher than the league average. Tarik Skubal induces Standard Grounders at a 37.3% rate, which is 2.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder +7.7% +2.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.2% -2.2% 14%

Low Screamer +0.2% -1.2% 9%

Rising Liner -2.2% -0.1% 4%

Maybe Homer -2.9% -1.6% 3%

Likely Homer -1.1% +0.4% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% -0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.7% +1.9% 3%

Pop up +0.8% +0.3%

15.8% of Austin Barnes's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 8.5% lower than the league average. 23.5% of batted balls allowed by Tarik Skubal are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +5.2% -1.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph +3.2% +1.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.6% +1.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.5% -1.1% 24%

Above 100 mph -8.5% -0.8%

8.4% of Austin Barnes's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.0% lower than the league average. 10.7% of batted balls allowed by Tarik Skubal are hit at this angle, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%