Matchup Machine

Austin Barnes

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matchup for Elvin Rodriguez

108th out of 436 (Best 26%)

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Elvin Rodriguez

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matchup for Austin Barnes

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Barnes
5

Model Prediction

Austin Barnes has a 34.0% chance of reaching base vs Elvin Rodriguez, which is 3.6% higher than Barnes's typical expectations, and 1.2% lower than batters facing Rodriguez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.0%24.2%1.6%5.9%16.8%9.8%19.7%
Barnes+3.6+2.7+0.2+1.2+1.4+0.9-3.4
Rodriguez-1.2-0.4-1.4-0.1+1.1-0.8-1.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Austin Barnes is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Elvin Rodriguez is right handed .

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On the Way to the Plate

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Elvin Rodriguez throws a 4-seam fastball 51% of the time. Austin Barnes has a D- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
51%
   Slider (R)
21%
   Changeup (R)
13%
   Curve (R)
12%

Contact and Outcomes

13.0% of Austin Barnes's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.7% lower than the league average. Elvin Rodriguez strikes out 16.4% of the batters he faces, which is 6.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -2.7% +6.5% 4%         Walk +1.8% +4.1% 39%         In Play +0.9% -10.5% 39%         On Base +3.1% +8.4% 31%         Hit +1.3% +4.3% 14%         Single +1.3% +0.1% 13%         2B / 3B +1.7% +0.5% 3%         Home Run -1.7% +3.7%

History

No History in the last 3 years