Matchup Machine

Austin Barnes

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matchup for Tyler Mahle

52nd out of 436 (Best 13%)

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Tyler Mahle

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matchup for Austin Barnes

out of 567 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for Mahle
6

Model Prediction

Austin Barnes has a 28.1% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Mahle, which is 2.3% lower than Barnes's typical expectations, and 2.3% lower than batters facing Mahle.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.1%19.5%1.5%3.9%14.2%8.5%25.2%
Barnes-2.3-1.9+0.1-0.8-1.2-0.4+2.1
Mahle-2.3-1.5-1.9-0.4+0.8-0.80.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Austin Barnes is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Tyler Mahle is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Barnes has an F grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Mahle throws a 4-seam fastball 55% of the time. Austin Barnes has a D- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
55%
   Slider (R)
19%
   Splitter (R)
16%
   Curve (R)
5%

Contact and Outcomes

13.0% of Austin Barnes's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.7% lower than the league average. Tyler Mahle strikes out 23.6% of the batters he faces, which is 10.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -2.7% +10.2% 4%         Walk +1.8% -1.2% 39%         In Play +0.9% -9.0% 39%         On Base +3.1% -5.6% 31%         Hit +1.3% -4.3% 14%         Single +1.3% -1.6% 13%         2B / 3B +1.7% -1.4% 3%         Home Run -1.7% -1.4%

History

No History in the last 3 years