matchup for Luis Severino
matchup for Austin Barnes
5
Austin Barnes has a 28.5% chance of reaching base vs Luis Severino, which is 1.9% lower than Barnes's typical expectations, and 1.6% lower than batters facing Severino.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 28.5% | 20.8% | 1.3% | 3.7% | 15.8% | 7.7% | 22.9% |
| Barnes | -1.9 | -0.6 | -0.1 | -0.9 | +0.4 | -1.3 | -0.3 |
| Severino | -1.6 | -0.4 | -1.2 | -0.4 | +1.2 | -1.2 | -0.3 |
Austin Barnes is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Luis Severino is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Barnes has a D grade vs this particular release point.
Luis Severino throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Austin Barnes has a D- grade against right-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (R)
44%
Slider (R)
27%
Changeup (R)
14%
Sinker (R)
8%
Cutter (R)
6%
14% of Luis Severino's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Austin Barnes has an F grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Mid Challenge
14%
+3%
Edge Painter
18%
+1%
Strong Challenge
6%
+1%
Fringe Miss
13%
+0%
Chaser
6%
0%
Weak Challenge
8%
0%
Likely Ball
19%
-1%
Non-Competitive
10%
-3%
Meatball
3%
-3%
27% of Luis Severino's pitches are classified as Very Fast Velocity, which is 19% higher than the MLB average. Austin Barnes has an F grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Very Fast Velo
27%
+19%
Medium Break
36%
+16%
Medium Ride
24%
+10%
13.0% of Austin Barnes's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.7% lower than the league average. Luis Severino strikes out 16.2% of the batters he faces, which is 0.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.
15%
Strikeout
-2.7%
+0.9%
4%
Walk
+1.8%
-1.1%
39%
In Play
+0.9%
+0.2%
39%
On Base
+3.1%
-1.0%
31%
Hit
+1.3%
+0.1%
14%
Single
+1.3%
+0.2%
13%
2B / 3B
+1.7%
+0.4%
3%
Home Run
-1.7%
-0.5%
41.8% of Austin Barnes's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 7.4% higher than the league average. Luis Severino induces Standard Grounders at a 36.5% rate, which is 2.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
+0.1%
+0.4%
34%
Standard Grounder
+7.4%
+2.1%
7%
Hard Grounder
-2.2%
-0.4%
14%
Low Screamer
+0.3%
+3.0%
9%
Rising Liner
-2.2%
-0.6%
4%
Maybe Homer
-2.9%
-0.6%
3%
Likely Homer
-1.1%
-1.3%
1%
No Doubter
-1.2%
+0.1%
20%
Routine Flyout
+0.8%
-2.0%
3%
Pop up
+0.8%
-0.8%
15.7% of Austin Barnes's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 8.6% lower than the league average. 23.7% of batted balls allowed by Luis Severino are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
+5.3%
+2.0%
21%
75 to 86 mph
+3.3%
+1.5%
18%
87 to 93 mph
+1.4%
-4.3%
19%
94 to 99 mph
-1.4%
+1.3%
24%
Above 100 mph
-8.6%
-0.6%
8.4% of Austin Barnes's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.0% lower than the league average. 10.2% of batted balls allowed by Luis Severino are hit at this angle, which is 1.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
+3.8%
+2.4%
12%
-10 to 0°
+1.9%
+0.2%
8%
1 to 6°
-1.1%
-0.6%
18%
7 to 18°
-2.0%
+0.9%
15%
19 to 28°
-3.7%
-0.6%
11%
29 to 38°
-3.0%
-1.3%
7%
39 to 50°
+2.4%
-0.9%
8%
Above 50°
+1.5%
-0.2%
No History in the last 3 years
