matchup for Aaron Nola
matchup for Austin Barnes
5
Austin Barnes has a 28.1% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Nola, which is 2.2% lower than Barnes's typical expectations, and 1.4% lower than batters facing Nola.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 28.1% | 21.4% | 1.5% | 5.9% | 14.1% | 6.7% | 29.7% |
| Barnes | -2.2 | 0.0 | +0.1 | +1.2 | -1.3 | -2.2 | +6.5 |
| Nola | -1.4 | -1.0 | -1.5 | -0.4 | +0.9 | -0.4 | -1.2 |
Austin Barnes is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Aaron Nola is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Barnes has an F grade vs this particular release point.
Aaron Nola throws a Kn-Curve 30% of the time. Austin Barnes hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
Kn-Curve (R)
30%
4-Seam (R)
30%
Sinker (R)
20%
Changeup (R)
12%
Cutter (R)
8%
8% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Chasers, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Austin Barnes has an F grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Chaser
8%
+2%
Edge Painter
19%
+1%
Fringe Miss
13%
+1%
Mid Challenge
12%
+0%
Strong Challenge
5%
+0%
Weak Challenge
8%
0%
Likely Ball
19%
0%
Meatball
5%
-1%
Non-Competitive
9%
-4%
26% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Austin Barnes has an F grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Extreme Drop
26%
+21%
Extreme Slow Velo
23%
+18%
Large Break
22%
+18%
13.0% of Austin Barnes's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.7% lower than the league average. Aaron Nola strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.
15%
Strikeout
-2.7%
+6.3%
4%
Walk
+1.8%
-2.8%
39%
In Play
+0.9%
-3.5%
39%
On Base
+3.1%
-4.8%
31%
Hit
+1.3%
-2.0%
14%
Single
+1.3%
-0.8%
13%
2B / 3B
+1.7%
-0.7%
3%
Home Run
-1.7%
-0.5%
41.8% of Austin Barnes's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 7.4% higher than the league average. Aaron Nola induces Standard Grounders at a 37.3% rate, which is 2.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
+0.1%
0.0%
34%
Standard Grounder
+7.4%
+2.9%
7%
Hard Grounder
-2.2%
-0.6%
14%
Low Screamer
+0.3%
-1.5%
9%
Rising Liner
-2.2%
+0.6%
4%
Maybe Homer
-2.9%
-0.4%
3%
Likely Homer
-1.1%
+0.1%
1%
No Doubter
-1.2%
+0.1%
20%
Routine Flyout
+0.8%
-0.3%
3%
Pop up
+0.8%
-0.7%
15.7% of Austin Barnes's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 8.6% lower than the league average. 23.5% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
+5.3%
+0.7%
21%
75 to 86 mph
+3.3%
-0.3%
18%
87 to 93 mph
+1.4%
+2.2%
19%
94 to 99 mph
-1.4%
-1.8%
24%
Above 100 mph
-8.6%
-0.8%
8.4% of Austin Barnes's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.0% lower than the league average. 10.9% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at this angle, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
+3.8%
-0.8%
12%
-10 to 0°
+1.9%
+1.8%
8%
1 to 6°
-1.1%
+0.1%
18%
7 to 18°
-2.0%
+0.9%
15%
19 to 28°
-3.7%
0.0%
11%
29 to 38°
-3.0%
-0.6%
7%
39 to 50°
+2.4%
-0.1%
8%
Above 50°
+1.5%
-1.4%
No History in the last 3 years
