Matchup Machine

Austin Barnes

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matchup for Caleb Thielbar

109th out of 436 (Best 26%)

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Caleb Thielbar

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matchup for Austin Barnes

340th out of 567 (Worst 40%)

Moderate advantage for Thielbar
3

Model Prediction

Austin Barnes has a 30.1% chance of reaching base vs Caleb Thielbar, which is 0.3% higher than Barnes's typical expectations, and 1.8% lower than batters facing Thielbar.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.1%20.9%1.6%5.0%14.3%9.2%26.7%
Barnes-0.3-0.5+0.2+0.4-1.1+0.2+3.5
Thielbar-1.8-0.9-1.70.0+0.8-0.9-1.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Austin Barnes is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Caleb Thielbar is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Barnes has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Caleb Thielbar throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Austin Barnes has a D grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
49%
   Slider (L)
29%
   Curve (L)
22%

Contact and Outcomes

13.0% of Austin Barnes's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.7% lower than the league average. Caleb Thielbar strikes out 18.8% of the batters he faces, which is 5.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -2.7% +5.2% 4%         Walk +1.8% +1.9% 39%         In Play +0.9% -7.1% 39%         On Base +3.1% -6.1% 31%         Hit +1.3% -8.0% 14%         Single +1.3% -4.3% 13%         2B / 3B +1.7% -3.9% 3%         Home Run -1.7% +0.2%

History

No History in the last 3 years