Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Nick Ahmed

matchup for Zach Brzykcy

51st out of 436 (Best 12%)

Zach Brzykcy

matchup for Nick Ahmed

out of 567 (Worst %)

Leans in favor of Ahmed

Nick Ahmed has a 30.0% chance of reaching base vs Zach Brzykcy, which is 2.3% higher than Ahmed's typical expectations, and 4.9% lower than batters facing Brzykcy.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.0%	22.9%	2.6%	5.9%	14.4%	7.1%	22.4%
Ahmed	+2.3	+0.9	+0.4	+0.9	-0.4	+1.4	-3.3
Brzykcy	-4.9	-0.5	-0.5	-0.2	+0.2	-4.4	+0.8

Nick Ahmed is worse vs right-handed pitching. Zach Brzykcy is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Ahmed has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Zach Brzykcy throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Nick Ahmed has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

56%

Curve (R)

23%

Changeup (R)

21%

27% of Zach Brzykcy's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 8% higher than the MLB average. Nick Ahmed has a C- grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 27%

+8%

Meatball 8%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

Non-Competitive 13%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Fringe Miss 9%

-4%

50% of Zach Brzykcy's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 31% higher than the MLB average. Nick Ahmed has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 50%

+31%

High Ride 37%

+26%

Fast Velo 30%

+15%

Offspeed (R) 21%

+10%

14.8% of Nick Ahmed's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.4% higher than the league average. Zach Brzykcy strikes out 12.7% of the batters he faces, which is 9.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +0.4% -9.3% 5%

Walk -2.8% +2.7% 39%

In Play +2.4% +6.6% 39%

On Base -2.4% +16.4% 31%

Hit +0.4% +13.7% 14%

Single +0.5% +4.3% 13%

2B / 3B +0.9% +4.7% 3%

Home Run -1.0% +4.6%

42.2% of Nick Ahmed's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 7.7% higher than the league average. Zach Brzykcy induces Standard Grounders at a 17.0% rate, which is 17.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.7% -0.8% 34%

Standard Grounder +7.7% -17.4% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.6% +2.4% 14%

Low Screamer -3.6% -2.9% 9%

Rising Liner +0.2% +0.9% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.9% +0.3% 3%

Likely Homer -1.1% +7.4% 1%

No Doubter -1.1% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.1% +14.7% 3%

Pop up -0.2% -3.4%

14.6% of Nick Ahmed's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.7% lower than the league average. 27.1% of batted balls allowed by Zach Brzykcy are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.1% -11.7% 21%

75 to 86 mph +2.2% 0.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.3% +0.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph +3.1% +8.2% 24%

Above 100 mph -9.7% +2.8%

8.9% of Nick Ahmed's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.5% lower than the league average. 29.3% of batted balls allowed by Zach Brzykcy are hit at this angle, which is 17.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%