Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Nick Ahmed

matchup for Daniel Palencia

50th out of 436 (Best 12%)

Daniel Palencia

matchup for Nick Ahmed

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Palencia

Nick Ahmed has a 29.8% chance of reaching base vs Daniel Palencia, which is 2.2% higher than Ahmed's typical expectations, and 5.0% lower than batters facing Palencia.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.8%	20.7%	2.0%	3.9%	14.9%	9.1%	29.2%
Ahmed	+2.2	-1.3	-0.2	-1.1	+0.1	+3.4	+3.5
Palencia	-5.0	+1.2	-0.4	+0.0	+1.6	-6.2	+2.0

Nick Ahmed is worse vs right-handed pitching. Daniel Palencia is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Ahmed has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

Daniel Palencia throws a 4-seam fastball 61% of the time. Nick Ahmed has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

61%

Slider (R)

29%

Sinker (R)

11% of Daniel Palencia's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Nick Ahmed has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Strong Challenge 11%

+6%

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Non-Competitive 15%

+3%

Edge Painter 17%

Fringe Miss 12%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Weak Challenge 5%

-3%

Meatball 2%

-4%

42% of Daniel Palencia's pitches are classified as Extreme Fast Velocity, which is 39% higher than the MLB average. Nick Ahmed hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Fast Velo 42%

+39%

Medium Ride 36%

+22%

Large Break 43%

+22%

Fastball (R) 67%

+13%

14.8% of Nick Ahmed's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.4% higher than the league average. Daniel Palencia strikes out 18.0% of the batters he faces, which is 4.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +0.4% +4.4% 5%

Walk -2.8% +3.4% 39%

In Play +2.4% -7.8% 39%

On Base -2.4% -0.7% 31%

Hit +0.4% -4.2% 14%

Single +0.5% -2.0% 13%

2B / 3B +0.9% -1.6% 3%

Home Run -1.0% -0.6%

42.2% of Nick Ahmed's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 7.7% higher than the league average. Daniel Palencia induces Standard Grounders at a 40.2% rate, which is 5.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.7% +0.4% 34%

Standard Grounder +7.7% +5.8% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.6% +2.9% 14%

Low Screamer -3.6% -0.4% 9%

Rising Liner +0.2% -2.8% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.9% -0.2% 3%

Likely Homer -1.1% -1.4% 1%

No Doubter -1.1% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.1% -3.5% 3%

Pop up -0.2% +0.4%

14.6% of Nick Ahmed's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.7% lower than the league average. 32.4% of batted balls allowed by Daniel Palencia are hit at above 100 mph, which is 8.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.1% -4.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph +2.2% -1.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.3% +0.9% 19%

94 to 99 mph +3.1% -3.1% 24%

Above 100 mph -9.7% +8.1%

8.9% of Nick Ahmed's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.5% lower than the league average. 4.7% of batted balls allowed by Daniel Palencia are hit at this angle, which is 6.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%