Matchup Machine

Nick Ahmed

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matchup for Robert Gasser

84th out of 436 (Best 20%)

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Robert Gasser

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matchup for Nick Ahmed

114th out of 567 (Best 21%)

Leans in favor of Ahmed
1

Model Prediction

Nick Ahmed has a 29.0% chance of reaching base vs Robert Gasser, which is 1.3% higher than Ahmed's typical expectations, and 2.2% lower than batters facing Gasser.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.0%25.1%2.0%6.3%16.7%3.9%18.8%
Ahmed+1.3+3.1-0.1+1.3+1.9-1.8-6.9
Gasser-2.2-0.2-0.7-0.1+0.5-2.0+0.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Nick Ahmed is better vs left-handed pitching. Robert Gasser is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Ahmed has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Robert Gasser throws a Slider 32% of the time. Nick Ahmed has a C grade against left-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (L)
32%
   Sinker (L)
22%
   4-Seam (L)
22%
   Changeup (L)
15%
   Cutter (L)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

14.8% of Nick Ahmed's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.4% higher than the league average. Robert Gasser strikes out 8.0% of the batters he faces, which is 10.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +0.4% -10.1% 5%         Walk -2.8% -7.1% 39%         In Play +2.4% +17.2% 39%         On Base -2.4% +1.6% 31%         Hit +0.4% +8.7% 14%         Single +0.5% +5.2% 13%         2B / 3B +0.9% +4.9% 3%         Home Run -1.0% -1.4%

History

No History in the last 3 years