Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Nick Ahmed

matchup for Declan Cronin

27th out of 436 (Best 7%)

Declan Cronin

matchup for Nick Ahmed

364th out of 567 (Worst 36%)

Moderate advantage for Cronin

Nick Ahmed has a 27.9% chance of reaching base vs Declan Cronin, which is 0.3% higher than Ahmed's typical expectations, and 4.5% lower than batters facing Cronin.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	27.9%	22.3%	1.8%	4.4%	16.2%	5.6%	27.0%
Ahmed	+0.3	+0.3	-0.4	-0.6	+1.4	-0.1	+1.3
Cronin	-4.5	-0.9	-0.5	-0.2	-0.2	-3.6	+3.2

Nick Ahmed is worse vs right-handed pitching. Declan Cronin is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Ahmed has a D grade vs this particular release point.

Declan Cronin throws a Slider 52% of the time. Nick Ahmed has a C+ grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Slider (R)

52%

Sinker (R)

41%

4-Seam (R)

13% of Declan Cronin's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Nick Ahmed has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 13%

+5%

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Fringe Miss 10%

-2%

Meatball 2%

-4%

52% of Declan Cronin's pitches are classified as Medium Drop, which is 40% higher than the MLB average. Nick Ahmed has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Drop 52%

+40%

Breaking (R) 52%

+22%

Medium Fast Velo 29%

+14%

Medium Break 20%

+11%

14.8% of Nick Ahmed's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.4% higher than the league average. Declan Cronin strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +0.4% -0.3% 5%

Walk -2.8% -0.3% 39%

In Play +2.4% +0.5% 39%

On Base -2.4% +3.8% 31%

Hit +0.4% +4.0% 14%

Single +0.5% +2.7% 13%

2B / 3B +0.9% +3.1% 3%

Home Run -1.0% -1.7%

42.2% of Nick Ahmed's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 7.7% higher than the league average. Declan Cronin induces Standard Grounders at a 52.7% rate, which is 18.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.7% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder +7.7% +18.3% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.6% +1.5% 14%

Low Screamer -3.6% -5.7% 9%

Rising Liner +0.2% -0.3% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.9% -2.0% 3%

Likely Homer -1.1% -1.7% 1%

No Doubter -1.1% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.1% -6.5% 3%

Pop up -0.2% -2.2%

14.6% of Nick Ahmed's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.7% lower than the league average. 31.2% of batted balls allowed by Declan Cronin are hit at above 100 mph, which is 6.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.1% +4.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph +2.2% -4.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.3% +0.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph +3.1% -8.1% 24%

Above 100 mph -9.7% +6.9%

8.9% of Nick Ahmed's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.5% lower than the league average. 7.0% of batted balls allowed by Declan Cronin are hit at this angle, which is 4.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +8.2% +20.1% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.6% -2.3% 8%

1 to 6° -0.8% +0.8% 18%

7 to 18° -0.7% +1.2% 15%

19 to 28° -0.9% -5.9% 11%

29 to 38° -2.5% -4.5% 7%

39 to 50° -0.8% -4.7% 8%

Above 50° -1.9% -4.7%

Nick Ahmed has 1 plate appearance against Declan Cronin in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.17	0.00	0.00	0.16			0.166

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-04-17	GIDP			16%	83%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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