Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Nick Ahmed

matchup for Bryce Miller

74th out of 436 (Best 18%)

Bryce Miller

matchup for Nick Ahmed

483rd out of 567 (Worst 15%)

Strong advantage for Miller

Nick Ahmed has a 25.3% chance of reaching base vs Bryce Miller, which is 2.3% lower than Ahmed's typical expectations, and 3.9% lower than batters facing Miller.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	25.3%	20.0%	1.9%	4.5%	13.6%	5.4%	31.5%
Ahmed	-2.3	-2.0	-0.3	-0.5	-1.2	-0.3	+5.8
Miller	-3.9	-0.5	-0.4	+0.1	-0.2	-3.4	+1.7

Nick Ahmed is worse vs right-handed pitching. Bryce Miller is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Ahmed has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Bryce Miller throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Nick Ahmed has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

49%

Slider (R)

20%

Sinker (R)

13%

Splitter (R)

10%

8% of Bryce Miller's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Nick Ahmed has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Weak Challenge 7%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-2%

43% of Bryce Miller's pitches are classified as Fast Velocity, which is 28% higher than the MLB average. Nick Ahmed has a D grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fast Velo 43%

+28%

High Ride 29%

+19%

Small Break 21%

+13%

Fastball (R) 64%

+10%

14.8% of Nick Ahmed's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.4% higher than the league average. Bryce Miller strikes out 15.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +0.4% +0.2% 5%

Walk -2.8% -2.5% 39%

In Play +2.4% +2.3% 39%

On Base -2.4% -3.2% 31%

Hit +0.4% -0.7% 14%

Single +0.5% -0.8% 13%

2B / 3B +0.9% -0.4% 3%

Home Run -1.0% +0.5%

42.2% of Nick Ahmed's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 7.7% higher than the league average. Bryce Miller induces Standard Grounders at a 30.4% rate, which is 4.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.7% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder +7.7% -4.0% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.6% +2.0% 14%

Low Screamer -3.6% -2.4% 9%

Rising Liner +0.2% +1.4% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.9% +0.9% 3%

Likely Homer -1.1% -1.2% 1%

No Doubter -1.1% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.1% +5.4% 3%

Pop up -0.2% -0.9%

14.6% of Nick Ahmed's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.7% lower than the league average. 25.8% of batted balls allowed by Bryce Miller are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.1% -2.2% 21%

75 to 86 mph +2.2% -3.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.3% -0.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph +3.1% +5.2% 24%

Above 100 mph -9.7% +1.5%

8.9% of Nick Ahmed's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.5% lower than the league average. 8.9% of batted balls allowed by Bryce Miller are hit at this angle, which is 2.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%