Matchup Machine

Nick Ahmed

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matchup for Garrett Crochet

74th out of 436 (Best 18%)

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Garrett Crochet

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matchup for Nick Ahmed

533rd out of 567 (Worst 6%)

Extreme advantage for Crochet
9

Model Prediction

Nick Ahmed has a 23.8% chance of reaching base vs Garrett Crochet, which is 3.8% lower than Ahmed's typical expectations, and 3.6% lower than batters facing Crochet.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction23.8%20.0%1.5%4.8%13.7%3.8%37.2%
Ahmed-3.8-2.0-0.6-0.3-1.1-1.8+11.5
Crochet-3.6-1.0-0.9-0.3+0.3-2.7+2.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Nick Ahmed is better vs left-handed pitching. Garrett Crochet is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Ahmed has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Garrett Crochet throws a 4-seam fastball 58% of the time. Nick Ahmed has a C grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
58%
   Cutter (L)
18%
   Slider (L)
16%
   Changeup (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

14.8% of Nick Ahmed's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.4% higher than the league average. Garrett Crochet strikes out 21.3% of the batters he faces, which is 9.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +0.4% +9.4% 5%         Walk -2.8% -1.3% 39%         In Play +2.4% -8.1% 39%         On Base -2.4% -3.9% 31%         Hit +0.4% -2.5% 14%         Single +0.5% -1.4% 13%         2B / 3B +0.9% -1.1% 3%         Home Run -1.0% +0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years