Matchup Machine

Nick Ahmed

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matchup for Tobias Myers

110th out of 436 (Best 26%)

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Tobias Myers

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matchup for Nick Ahmed

128th out of 567 (Best 23%)

Leans in favor of Myers
1

Model Prediction

Nick Ahmed has a 29.0% chance of reaching base vs Tobias Myers, which is 1.4% higher than Ahmed's typical expectations, and 2.7% lower than batters facing Myers.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.0%24.2%2.8%5.8%15.6%4.8%24.1%
Ahmed+1.4+2.2+0.7+0.8+0.8-0.9-1.6
Myers-2.7+0.0-0.2-0.2+0.4-2.8-0.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Nick Ahmed is worse vs right-handed pitching. Tobias Myers is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Ahmed has a D- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tobias Myers throws a 4-seam fastball 41% of the time. Nick Ahmed has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
41%
   Cutter (R)
22%
   Slider (R)
22%
   Changeup (R)
11%

Contact and Outcomes

14.8% of Nick Ahmed's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.4% higher than the league average. Tobias Myers strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +0.4% -1.6% 5%         Walk -2.8% -1.7% 39%         In Play +2.4% +3.3% 39%         On Base -2.4% +0.5% 31%         Hit +0.4% +2.2% 14%         Single +0.5% +0.6% 13%         2B / 3B +0.9% +1.1% 3%         Home Run -1.0% +0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years