Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Nick Ahmed

matchup for Jack Flaherty

20th out of 436 (Best 5%)

Jack Flaherty

matchup for Nick Ahmed

227th out of 567 (Best 41%)

Moderate advantage for Flaherty

Nick Ahmed has a 28.6% chance of reaching base vs Jack Flaherty, which is 1.0% higher than Ahmed's typical expectations, and 5.6% lower than batters facing Flaherty.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	28.6%	22.5%	2.8%	4.6%	15.1%	6.1%	26.2%
Ahmed	+1.0	+0.5	+0.6	-0.4	+0.3	+0.5	+0.5
Flaherty	-5.6	-0.8	-0.8	-0.5	+0.6	-4.8	+3.4

Nick Ahmed is worse vs right-handed pitching. Jack Flaherty is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Ahmed has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

Jack Flaherty throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Nick Ahmed has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

44%

Slider (R)

27%

Kn-Curve (R)

18%

21% of Jack Flaherty's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Nick Ahmed has a C- grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 21%

+2%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

Mid Challenge 11%

Chaser 6%

Weak Challenge 8%

Meatball 6%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

45% of Jack Flaherty's pitches are classified as Breaking Pitches, which is 14% higher than the MLB average. Nick Ahmed has a C grade against this type of pitch from right handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Breaking (R) 45%

+14%

Medium Break 20%

+11%

14.8% of Nick Ahmed's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.4% higher than the league average. Jack Flaherty strikes out 20.5% of the batters he faces, which is 5.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +0.4% +5.8% 5%

Walk -2.8% -1.5% 39%

In Play +2.4% -4.3% 39%

On Base -2.4% -2.0% 31%

Hit +0.4% -0.5% 14%

Single +0.5% +0.0% 13%

2B / 3B +0.9% -0.3% 3%

Home Run -1.0% -0.2%

42.2% of Nick Ahmed's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 7.7% higher than the league average. Jack Flaherty induces Standard Grounders at a 36.3% rate, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.7% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder +7.7% +1.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.6% -1.5% 14%

Low Screamer -3.6% +1.6% 9%

Rising Liner +0.2% +0.7% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.9% -0.3% 3%

Likely Homer -1.1% +0.1% 1%

No Doubter -1.1% -0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.1% -1.3% 3%

Pop up -0.2% -0.8%

14.6% of Nick Ahmed's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.7% lower than the league average. 21.5% of batted balls allowed by Jack Flaherty are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.1% +1.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph +2.2% +2.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.3% +0.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph +3.1% -1.3% 24%

Above 100 mph -9.7% -2.8%

8.9% of Nick Ahmed's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.5% lower than the league average. 12.2% of batted balls allowed by Jack Flaherty are hit at this angle, which is 0.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%