Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Nick Ahmed

matchup for Tyler Glasnow

77th out of 436 (Best 18%)

Tyler Glasnow

matchup for Nick Ahmed

543rd out of 567 (Worst 4%)

Extreme advantage for Glasnow

Nick Ahmed has a 22.0% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Glasnow, which is 5.6% lower than Ahmed's typical expectations, and 2.7% lower than batters facing Glasnow.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	22.0%	17.3%	1.8%	4.2%	11.4%	4.7%	34.0%
Ahmed	-5.6	-4.6	-0.4	-0.8	-3.4	-1.0	+8.3
Glasnow	-2.7	-0.4	-0.3	-0.2	+0.1	-2.3	+2.7

Nick Ahmed is worse vs right-handed pitching. Tyler Glasnow is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Ahmed has a D grade vs this particular release point.

Tyler Glasnow throws a 4-seam fastball 55% of the time. Nick Ahmed has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

55%

Curve (R)

22%

Slider (R)

18%

15% of Tyler Glasnow's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Nick Ahmed has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 15%

+4%

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Weak Challenge 9%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

Fringe Miss 12%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-1%

Meatball 2%

-4%

39% of Tyler Glasnow's pitches are classified as Minimal Break, which is 29% higher than the MLB average. Nick Ahmed has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Minimal Break 39%

+29%

Very Fast Velo 31%

+23%

Extreme Drop 23%

+18%

Breaking (R) 41%

+10%

14.8% of Nick Ahmed's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.4% higher than the league average. Tyler Glasnow strikes out 21.0% of the batters he faces, which is 11.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +0.4% +11.0% 5%

Walk -2.8% -0.8% 39%

In Play +2.4% -10.2% 39%

On Base -2.4% -6.6% 31%

Hit +0.4% -5.8% 14%

Single +0.5% -2.3% 13%

2B / 3B +0.9% -2.6% 3%

Home Run -1.0% -1.0%

42.2% of Nick Ahmed's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 7.7% higher than the league average. Tyler Glasnow induces Standard Grounders at a 41.6% rate, which is 7.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.7% +1.0% 34%

Standard Grounder +7.7% +7.2% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.6% +0.5% 14%

Low Screamer -3.6% -3.6% 9%

Rising Liner +0.2% -2.2% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.9% -0.5% 3%

Likely Homer -1.1% -0.4% 1%

No Doubter -1.1% -0.9% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.1% -2.0% 3%

Pop up -0.2% +0.9%

14.6% of Nick Ahmed's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.7% lower than the league average. 24.8% of batted balls allowed by Tyler Glasnow are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.1% -0.7% 21%

75 to 86 mph +2.2% -0.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.3% -0.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph +3.1% +1.5% 24%

Above 100 mph -9.7% +0.5%

8.9% of Nick Ahmed's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.5% lower than the league average. 12.2% of batted balls allowed by Tyler Glasnow are hit at this angle, which is 0.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +8.2% +7.3% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.6% +1.9% 8%

1 to 6° -0.8% +0.6% 18%

7 to 18° -0.7% -5.4% 15%

19 to 28° -0.9% -3.3% 11%

29 to 38° -2.5% +0.7% 7%

39 to 50° -0.8% -2.2% 8%

Above 50° -1.9% +0.4%

Nick Ahmed has 3 plate appearances against Tyler Glasnow in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a walk

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.29	0.00	0.11	0.18			0.146

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-06-29	Walk
2024-04-03	Groundout		4%	7%	89%
2024-04-03	Groundout		7%	11%	82%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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