Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Nick Ahmed

matchup for Marcus Stroman

30th out of 436 (Best 8%)

Marcus Stroman

matchup for Nick Ahmed

40th out of 567 (Best 8%)

Moderate advantage for Ahmed

Nick Ahmed has a 33.1% chance of reaching base vs Marcus Stroman, which is 5.4% higher than Ahmed's typical expectations, and 4.6% lower than batters facing Stroman.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	33.1%	27.8%	2.4%	4.8%	20.5%	5.2%	20.4%
Ahmed	+5.4	+5.8	+0.3	-0.2	+5.7	-0.4	-5.4
Stroman	-4.6	-1.0	-0.3	-1.0	+0.2	-3.5	+2.2

Nick Ahmed is worse vs right-handed pitching. Marcus Stroman is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Ahmed has a D- grade vs this particular release point.

Marcus Stroman throws a Sinker 40% of the time. Nick Ahmed has a D+ grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

40%

Slider (R)

18%

Cutter (R)

15%

Splitter (R)

11%

Curve (R)

10%

4-Seam (R)

22% of Marcus Stroman's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Nick Ahmed has a C- grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 22%

+3%

Weak Challenge 11%

+2%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Mid Challenge 9%

-2%

37% of Marcus Stroman's pitches are classified as Small Drop, which is 24% higher than the MLB average. Nick Ahmed has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Small Drop 37%

+24%

Medium Velo 29%

+18%

14.8% of Nick Ahmed's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.4% higher than the league average. Marcus Stroman strikes out 13.5% of the batters he faces, which is 3.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +0.4% -3.1% 5%

Walk -2.8% -0.8% 39%

In Play +2.4% +3.9% 39%

On Base -2.4% +3.0% 31%

Hit +0.4% +3.8% 14%

Single +0.5% +2.4% 13%

2B / 3B +0.9% +2.4% 3%

Home Run -1.0% -1.1%

42.2% of Nick Ahmed's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 7.7% higher than the league average. Marcus Stroman induces Standard Grounders at a 43.6% rate, which is 9.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.7% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder +7.7% +9.2% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.6% +4.1% 14%

Low Screamer -3.6% -1.9% 9%

Rising Liner +0.2% +0.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.9% -1.3% 3%

Likely Homer -1.1% -1.4% 1%

No Doubter -1.1% -0.7% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.1% -6.1% 3%

Pop up -0.2% -1.9%

14.6% of Nick Ahmed's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.7% lower than the league average. 28.8% of batted balls allowed by Marcus Stroman are hit at above 100 mph, which is 4.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.1% -1.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph +2.2% +0.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.3% -2.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph +3.1% -1.0% 24%

Above 100 mph -9.7% +4.4%

8.9% of Nick Ahmed's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.5% lower than the league average. 7.4% of batted balls allowed by Marcus Stroman are hit at this angle, which is 4.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%