Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Nick Ahmed

matchup for Zack Wheeler

39th out of 436 (Best 10%)

Zack Wheeler

matchup for Nick Ahmed

547th out of 567 (Worst 4%)

Extreme advantage for Wheeler

Nick Ahmed has a 21.1% chance of reaching base vs Zack Wheeler, which is 6.6% lower than Ahmed's typical expectations, and 4.8% lower than batters facing Wheeler.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	21.1%	16.3%	2.2%	4.1%	9.9%	4.8%	34.3%
Ahmed	-6.6	-5.7	+0.0	-0.9	-4.9	-0.9	+8.6
Wheeler	-4.8	-1.5	-0.3	-0.3	-0.9	-3.3	+2.0

Nick Ahmed is worse vs right-handed pitching. Zack Wheeler is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Ahmed has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

Zack Wheeler throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Nick Ahmed has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

42%

Slider (R)

21%

Sinker (R)

19%

Curve (R)

11%

13% of Zack Wheeler's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Nick Ahmed has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Weak Challenge 8%

Meatball 3%

-3%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

32% of Zack Wheeler's pitches are classified as Fast Velocity, which is 17% higher than the MLB average. Nick Ahmed has a D grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fast Velo 32%

+17%

Fastball (R) 64%

+11%

14.8% of Nick Ahmed's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.4% higher than the league average. Zack Wheeler strikes out 21.0% of the batters he faces, which is 7.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +0.4% +7.9% 5%

Walk -2.8% -2.6% 39%

In Play +2.4% -5.3% 39%

On Base -2.4% -6.2% 31%

Hit +0.4% -3.6% 14%

Single +0.5% -1.3% 13%

2B / 3B +0.9% -1.2% 3%

Home Run -1.0% -1.0%

42.2% of Nick Ahmed's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 7.7% higher than the league average. Zack Wheeler induces Standard Grounders at a 41.6% rate, which is 7.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.7% -0.6% 34%

Standard Grounder +7.7% +7.2% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.6% -1.5% 14%

Low Screamer -3.6% +1.9% 9%

Rising Liner +0.2% -1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.9% -1.1% 3%

Likely Homer -1.1% -0.7% 1%

No Doubter -1.1% -0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.1% -4.7% 3%

Pop up -0.2% +0.7%

14.6% of Nick Ahmed's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.7% lower than the league average. 21.7% of batted balls allowed by Zack Wheeler are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.1% +5.7% 21%

75 to 86 mph +2.2% +1.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.3% -1.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph +3.1% -3.1% 24%

Above 100 mph -9.7% -2.6%

8.9% of Nick Ahmed's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.5% lower than the league average. 10.1% of batted balls allowed by Zack Wheeler are hit at this angle, which is 1.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%