Matchup Machine

Ramon Urias

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matchup for Andrew Abbott

164th out of 436 (Best 38%)

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Andrew Abbott

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matchup for Ramon Urias

350th out of 567 (Worst 38%)

Leans in favor of Urias
2

Model Prediction

Ramon Urias has a 29.9% chance of reaching base vs Andrew Abbott, which is 1.4% lower than Urias's typical expectations, and 2.1% lower than batters facing Abbott.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.9%21.5%3.2%5.3%13.1%8.4%21.0%
Urias-1.4-2.1+0.2-0.1-2.2+0.7-1.0
Abbott-2.10.0-0.1-0.1+0.1-2.1-1.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Ramon Urias is slightly better vs left-handed pitching. Andrew Abbott is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Urias has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Andrew Abbott throws a 4-seam fastball 52% of the time. Ramon Urias has a B grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
52%
   Slider (L)
18%
   Changeup (L)
16%
   Curve (L)
14%

Contact and Outcomes

11.7% of Ramon Urias's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.9% lower than the league average. Andrew Abbott strikes out 13.8% of the batters he faces, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -4.9% -1.6% 4%         Walk -0.2% +0.9% 37%         In Play +5.1% +0.7% 39%         On Base +2.9% -1.6% 31%         Hit +3.0% -2.5% 14%         Single +1.0% -1.5% 13%         2B / 3B +1.3% -1.1% 3%         Home Run +0.8% +0.2%

History

Ramon Urias has 2 plate appearances against Andrew Abbott in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.050.000.030.020.025
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-06-27Flyout3%2%95%
2023-06-27Flyout100%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.