Ramon Urias has a 27.7% chance of reaching base vs Joe Ryan, which is 3.9% lower than Urias's typical expectations, and 0.8% higher than batters facing Ryan.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 27.7% | 22.1% | 2.5% | 6.5% | 13.1% | 5.6% | 26.7% |
Urias | -3.9 | -1.6 | -0.4 | +1.2 | -2.5 | -2.3 | +4.7 |
Ryan | +0.8 | +1.8 | 0.0 | +1.2 | +0.6 | -1.0 | -2.3 |
Ramon Urias is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Joe Ryan is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Urias has a B- grade vs this particular release point.
Joe Ryan throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Ramon Urias has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers
9% of Joe Ryan's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Ramon Urias has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.
49% of Joe Ryan's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 28% higher than the MLB average. Ramon Urias has a B grade against this type of pitch.
11.8% of Ramon Urias's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.8% lower than the league average. Joe Ryan strikes out 16.9% of the batters he faces, which is 4.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.
36.1% of Ramon Urias's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.7% higher than the league average. Joe Ryan induces Standard Grounders at a 34.0% rate, which is 0.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.
24.4% of Ramon Urias's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.1% higher than the league average. 22.9% of batted balls allowed by Joe Ryan are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.
10.0% of Ramon Urias's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.4% lower than the league average. 11.9% of batted balls allowed by Joe Ryan are hit at this angle, which is 0.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.
Ramon Urias has 2 plate appearances against Joe Ryan in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a home run and
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.500 |
Expected From Contact → | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.000 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2023-07-09 | Home Run | ||||
2023-07-09 | Strikeout |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.