Matchup Machine

      Ramon Urias

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      matchup for Joe Ryan

      333rd out of 436 (Worst 24%)

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      Joe Ryan

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      matchup for Ramon Urias

      470th out of 564 (Worst 17%)

      Moderate advantage for Ryan
      3

      Model Prediction

      Ramon Urias has a 27.7% chance of reaching base vs Joe Ryan, which is 3.9% lower than Urias's typical expectations, and 0.8% higher than batters facing Ryan.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Ramon Urias is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Joe Ryan is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Urias has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Joe Ryan throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Ramon Urias has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
      56%
         Slider (R)
      19%
         Splitter (R)
      16%

      Contact and Outcomes

      11.8% of Ramon Urias's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.8% lower than the league average. Joe Ryan strikes out 16.9% of the batters he faces, which is 4.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -4.8% +4.7% 4%         Walk -0.3% -3.3% 37%         In Play +5.1% -1.4% 39%         On Base +2.4% -8.1% 31%         Hit +2.7% -4.7% 14%         Single +0.8% -3.0% 13%         2B / 3B +1.1% -2.7% 3%         Home Run +0.7% +0.9%

      History

      Ramon Urias has 2 plate appearances against Joe Ryan in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a home run and

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual221100100.500
      Expected From Contact →0.001.000.000.000.000
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2023-07-09Home Run
      2023-07-09Strikeout

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.