Matchup Machine

Ramon Urias

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matchup for Jose Berrios

344th out of 436 (Worst 21%)

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Jose Berrios

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matchup for Ramon Urias

139th out of 567 (Best 25%)

Strong advantage for Urias
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Model Prediction

Ramon Urias has a 33.6% chance of reaching base vs Jose Berrios, which is 2.3% higher than Urias's typical expectations, and 0.5% higher than batters facing Berrios.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.6%26.7%3.6%5.7%17.3%6.9%20.6%
Urias+2.3+3.3+0.4+0.5+2.4-1.1-2.3
Berrios+0.5+1.7+0.7-0.2+1.3-1.2-2.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Ramon Urias is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Jose Berrios is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Urias has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jose Berrios throws a Sinker 30% of the time. Ramon Urias has an A+ grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
30%
   Curve (R)
30%
   4-Seam (R)
23%
   Changeup (R)
16%

Contact and Outcomes

12.1% of Ramon Urias's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% lower than the league average. Jose Berrios strikes out 15.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -4.3% +0.7% 4%         Walk -0.4% -0.8% 38%         In Play +4.6% +0.1% 39%         On Base +1.9% -0.3% 31%         Hit +2.3% +0.6% 14%         Single +0.7% +0.2% 13%         2B / 3B +1.0% +0.2% 3%         Home Run +0.7% +0.2%

History

Ramon Urias has 16 plate appearances against Jose Berrios in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 15 with a double and a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual16153012310.200
Expected From Contact →3.560.001.152.400.237
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2025-03-27Pop Out
2025-03-27Groundout
2024-06-05Groundout15%85%
2024-06-05Double83%12%5%
2023-08-24Strikeout
2023-08-24Strikeout
2023-08-24Flyout1%98%
2023-06-14Hit By Pitch
2023-06-14Single6%87%7%
2023-06-14Flyout99%
2022-09-17Walk
2022-09-17Strikeout
2022-09-17Flyout41%58%
2022-09-05Single23%67%10%
2022-09-05Groundout6%94%
2022-09-05GIDP12%88%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.