Matchup Machine

Ramon Urias

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matchup for Thyago Vieira

339th out of 436 (Worst 22%)

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Thyago Vieira

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matchup for Ramon Urias

223rd out of 567 (Best 40%)

Strong advantage for Urias
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Model Prediction

Ramon Urias has a 34.0% chance of reaching base vs Thyago Vieira, which is 2.6% higher than Urias's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Vieira.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.0%21.5%2.5%5.0%14.0%12.5%20.2%
Urias+2.6-2.1-0.5-0.3-1.3+4.7-1.9
Vieira+0.3+1.4+0.2+0.5+0.7-1.1-4.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Ramon Urias is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Thyago Vieira is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Urias has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Thyago Vieira throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Ramon Urias has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
42%
   Slider (R)
30%
   Sinker (R)
25%

Contact and Outcomes

11.7% of Ramon Urias's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.9% lower than the league average. Thyago Vieira strikes out 13.2% of the batters he faces, which is 2.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -4.9% -2.2% 4%         Walk -0.2% +4.2% 37%         In Play +5.1% -2.0% 39%         On Base +2.9% +1.5% 31%         Hit +3.0% -2.7% 14%         Single +1.0% -2.0% 13%         2B / 3B +1.3% -1.6% 3%         Home Run +0.8% +0.9%

History

Ramon Urias has 1 plate appearance against Thyago Vieira in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 1.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual111001001.000
Expected From Contact →0.830.000.130.700.830
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-04-12Single13%70%17%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.