Matchup Machine

Ramon Urias

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matchup for Marcus Stroman

384th out of 436 (Worst 12%)

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Marcus Stroman

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matchup for Ramon Urias

4th out of 567 (Best 2%)

Extreme advantage for Urias
10

Model Prediction

Ramon Urias has a 39.1% chance of reaching base vs Marcus Stroman, which is 7.7% higher than Urias's typical expectations, and 1.5% higher than batters facing Stroman.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction39.1%31.6%3.2%6.4%22.0%7.5%14.3%
Urias+7.7+8.0+0.2+1.1+6.7-0.3-7.7
Stroman+1.5+2.7+0.5+0.6+1.7-1.3-3.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Ramon Urias is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Marcus Stroman is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Urias has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Marcus Stroman throws a Sinker 40% of the time. Ramon Urias has an A+ grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
40%
   Slider (R)
18%
   Cutter (R)
15%
   Splitter (R)
11%
   Curve (R)
10%
   4-Seam (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

11.7% of Ramon Urias's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.9% lower than the league average. Marcus Stroman strikes out 13.5% of the batters he faces, which is 3.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -4.9% -3.1% 4%         Walk -0.2% -0.8% 37%         In Play +5.1% +3.9% 39%         On Base +2.9% +3.0% 31%         Hit +3.0% +3.8% 14%         Single +1.0% +2.4% 13%         2B / 3B +1.3% +2.4% 3%         Home Run +0.8% -1.1%

History

Ramon Urias has 2 plate appearances against Marcus Stroman in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual221001000.500
Expected From Contact →0.940.000.070.880.472
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-25Single7%80%13%
2024-09-25Forceout8%92%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.