Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jeimer Candelario

matchup for Jared Jones

278th out of 436 (Worst 36%)

Jared Jones

matchup for J. Candelario

360th out of 567 (Worst 37%)

Leans in favor of Candelario

Jeimer Candelario has a 31.0% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 1.0% lower than Candelario's typical expectations, and 0.1% higher than batters facing Jones.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.0%	20.3%	3.9%	4.6%	11.7%	10.7%	30.4%
Candelario	-1.0	-2.0	+0.6	-0.4	-2.2	+1.0	+4.5
Jones	-0.1	-0.6	+1.0	-0.5	-1.1	+0.5	+1.8

Jeimer Candelario is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Candelario has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Jeimer Candelario has an A- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

49%

Slider (R)

35%

Curve (R)

Changeup (R)

17% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Jeimer Candelario has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 17%

+6%

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 6%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-4%

36% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Jeimer Candelario has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 36%

+16%

Extreme Fast Velo 18%

+15%

Breaking (R) 44%

+13%

High Ride 22%

+11%

14.8% of Jeimer Candelario's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.4% higher than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +0.4% +0.4% 5%

Walk -1.8% +0.6% 39%

In Play +1.4% -1.1% 39%

On Base -4.2% -0.1% 31%

Hit -2.4% -0.8% 14%

Single -2.0% -1.1% 13%

2B / 3B -1.8% -0.5% 3%

Home Run +1.4% +0.9%

32.4% of Jeimer Candelario's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.0% lower than the league average. Jared Jones induces Standard Grounders at a 30.0% rate, which is 4.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder -2.0% -4.4% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.8% +0.4% 14%

Low Screamer +2.4% -2.4% 9%

Rising Liner +1.1% +1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.0% +1.5% 3%

Likely Homer +0.2% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter -0.7% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.2% +1.5% 3%

Pop up 0.0% +2.5%

21.8% of Jeimer Candelario's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.5% lower than the league average. 24.7% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.2% +1.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph +2.3% -4.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.9% -2.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph -0.5% +5.2% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.5% +0.4%

11.4% of Jeimer Candelario's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.1% lower than the league average. 8.9% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%