matchup for Graham Ashcraft
matchup for J. Candelario
9
Jeimer Candelario has a 36.3% chance of reaching base vs Graham Ashcraft, which is 4.9% higher than Candelario's typical expectations, and 0.6% lower than batters facing Ashcraft.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 36.3% | 25.5% | 2.5% | 5.9% | 17.1% | 10.9% | 17.5% |
| Candelario | +4.9 | +3.6 | -0.6 | +0.5 | +3.7 | +1.3 | -9.7 |
| Ashcraft | -0.6 | -1.1 | +0.2 | +0.8 | -2.1 | +0.5 | +1.2 |
Jeimer Candelario is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Graham Ashcraft is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Candelario has a B- grade vs this particular release point.
Graham Ashcraft throws a Cutter 51% of the time. Jeimer Candelario has a D+ grade against right-handed Cutters
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
Cutter (R)
51%
Slider (R)
32%
Sinker (R)
15%
14% of Graham Ashcraft's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Jeimer Candelario has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Weak Challenge
14%
+6%
Chaser
7%
+1%
Mid Challenge
12%
+1%
Edge Painter
18%
+1%
Fringe Miss
12%
0%
Strong Challenge
4%
-1%
Likely Ball
18%
-2%
Non-Competitive
11%
-2%
Meatball
2%
-5%
30% of Graham Ashcraft's pitches are classified as Very Fast Velocity, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Jeimer Candelario has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Very Fast Velo
30%
+21%
Just Gravity
30%
+17%
Minimal Break
24%
+14%
Fastball (R)
67%
+13%
15.4% of Jeimer Candelario's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.4% higher than the league average. Graham Ashcraft strikes out 10.7% of the batters he faces, which is 6.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.
14%
Strikeout
+1.4%
-6.0%
5%
Walk
-2.0%
-1.0%
39%
In Play
+0.6%
+6.9%
39%
On Base
-4.9%
+7.6%
31%
Hit
-2.9%
+8.5%
14%
Single
-2.2%
+4.4%
13%
2B / 3B
-2.0%
+4.8%
3%
Home Run
+1.3%
-0.6%
32.4% of Jeimer Candelario's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.0% lower than the league average. Graham Ashcraft induces Standard Grounders at a 41.6% rate, which is 7.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
-0.3%
-0.3%
34%
Standard Grounder
-2.0%
+7.2%
7%
Hard Grounder
-0.8%
+0.7%
14%
Low Screamer
+2.4%
-2.3%
9%
Rising Liner
+1.1%
+0.1%
4%
Maybe Homer
0.0%
+1.1%
3%
Likely Homer
+0.2%
-1.5%
1%
No Doubter
-0.7%
-0.7%
20%
Routine Flyout
+0.1%
-3.8%
3%
Pop up
0.0%
-0.5%
21.7% of Jeimer Candelario's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.6% lower than the league average. 23.0% of batted balls allowed by Graham Ashcraft are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
-0.2%
-0.8%
21%
75 to 86 mph
+2.4%
+0.1%
18%
87 to 93 mph
+0.9%
+3.2%
19%
94 to 99 mph
-0.5%
-1.2%
24%
Above 100 mph
-2.6%
-1.3%
11.4% of Jeimer Candelario's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.1% lower than the league average. 8.8% of batted balls allowed by Graham Ashcraft are hit at this angle, which is 2.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
-0.9%
+3.5%
12%
-10 to 0°
-0.9%
+2.0%
8%
1 to 6°
-1.4%
+0.7%
18%
7 to 18°
+0.9%
+0.1%
15%
19 to 28°
+1.3%
-1.6%
11%
29 to 38°
-0.1%
-2.7%
7%
39 to 50°
+0.9%
-0.9%
8%
Above 50°
+0.2%
-1.1%
Jeimer Candelario has 3 plate appearances against Graham Ashcraft in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3.
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Expected From Contact → | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.40 | 0.134 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2023-07-05 | Groundout | 31% | 69% | ||
| 2023-07-05 | GIDP | 9% | 91% | ||
| 2023-07-05 | Pop Out | 100% | |||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
