Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jeimer Candelario

matchup for Ryan Feltner

360th out of 436 (Worst 18%)

Ryan Feltner

matchup for J. Candelario

65th out of 567 (Best 12%)

Extreme advantage for Candelario

Jeimer Candelario has a 34.9% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Feltner, which is 3.0% higher than Candelario's typical expectations, and 1.6% higher than batters facing Feltner.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	34.9%	25.2%	3.5%	6.5%	15.2%	9.8%	20.8%
Candelario	+3.0	+2.9	+0.2	+1.6	+1.2	+0.1	-5.1
Feltner	+1.6	+0.5	+0.6	+0.5	-0.6	+1.1	+0.6

Jeimer Candelario is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Ryan Feltner is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Candelario has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Ryan Feltner throws a 4-seam fastball 36% of the time. Jeimer Candelario has an A- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

36%

Slider (R)

27%

Sinker (R)

15%

Changeup (R)

12%

Curve (R)

10%

10% of Ryan Feltner's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Jeimer Candelario has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Non-Competitive 13%

Strong Challenge 5%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-2%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

31% of Ryan Feltner's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 12% higher than the MLB average. Jeimer Candelario has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 31%

+12%

Fast Velo 26%

+11%

Small Drop 21%

+9%

14.8% of Jeimer Candelario's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.4% higher than the league average. Ryan Feltner strikes out 12.4% of the batters he faces, which is 5.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +0.4% -5.1% 5%

Walk -1.8% 0.0% 39%

In Play +1.4% +5.1% 39%

On Base -4.2% +5.3% 31%

Hit -2.4% +5.3% 14%

Single -2.0% +2.5% 13%

2B / 3B -1.8% +2.7% 3%

Home Run +1.4% +0.1%

32.4% of Jeimer Candelario's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.0% lower than the league average. Ryan Feltner induces Standard Grounders at a 34.3% rate, which is 0.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% +0.4% 34%

Standard Grounder -2.0% -0.1% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.8% -2.1% 14%

Low Screamer +2.4% +5.2% 9%

Rising Liner +1.1% -0.4% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.0% -1.7% 3%

Likely Homer +0.2% -1.3% 1%

No Doubter -0.7% -0.8% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.2% -0.8% 3%

Pop up 0.0% +1.6%

21.8% of Jeimer Candelario's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.5% lower than the league average. 20.1% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Feltner are hit at above 100 mph, which is 4.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.2% +4.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph +2.3% +7.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.9% -4.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph -0.5% -3.4% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.5% -4.2%

11.4% of Jeimer Candelario's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.1% lower than the league average. 9.9% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Feltner are hit at this angle, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -0.9% -2.3% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.9% -1.2% 8%

1 to 6° -1.5% +0.1% 18%

7 to 18° +0.9% +1.6% 15%

19 to 28° +1.3% -4.4% 11%

29 to 38° -0.1% -1.6% 7%

39 to 50° +0.9% +2.8% 8%

Above 50° +0.2% +5.0%

Jeimer Candelario has 9 plate appearances against Ryan Feltner in the last 3 years. He is 5 for 9 with a home run and a double and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	9	9	5	1	1	3	2	0	0.556
Expected From Contact →			3.49	1.03	0.32	2.15			0.388

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-07-08	Strikeout
2024-07-08	Single			59%	40%
2024-07-08	Single			58%	42%
2024-06-03	Home Run	87%	3%		11%
2024-06-03	Groundout			5%	95%
2024-06-03	Double	16%	22%		62%
2023-04-09	Single		3%	89%	7%
2023-04-09	Strikeout
2023-04-09	Groundout		3%	3%	94%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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