Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jeimer Candelario

matchup for Logan Webb

378th out of 436 (Worst 14%)

Logan Webb

matchup for J. Candelario

171st out of 567 (Best 31%)

Strong advantage for Candelario

Jeimer Candelario has a 33.6% chance of reaching base vs Logan Webb, which is 1.9% higher than Candelario's typical expectations, and 1.2% higher than batters facing Webb.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	33.6%	25.6%	3.9%	5.2%	16.5%	8.0%	23.3%
Candelario	+1.9	+2.5	+0.1	-0.3	+2.6	-0.6	-2.9
Webb	+1.2	+1.2	+1.5	+0.3	-0.6	0.0	+0.3

Jeimer Candelario is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Logan Webb is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Candelario has a B+ grade vs this particular release point.

Logan Webb throws a Sinker 36% of the time. Jeimer Candelario has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

36%

Changeup (R)

34%

Slider (R)

25%

13% of Logan Webb's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Jeimer Candelario has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 13%

+5%

Chaser 8%

+2%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Strong Challenge 5%

Likely Ball 19%

Mid Challenge 9%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

Meatball 3%

-4%

47% of Logan Webb's pitches are classified as Medium Drop, which is 34% higher than the MLB average. Jeimer Candelario has a D- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Drop 47%

+34%

Offspeed (R) 34%

+23%

Extreme Break 24%

+9%

Medium Fast Velo 24%

+9%

15.1% of Jeimer Candelario's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.8% higher than the league average. Logan Webb strikes out 15.1% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +0.8% -0.8% 5%

Walk -2.1% -2.4% 39%

In Play +1.2% +3.2% 39%

On Base -4.2% +1.6% 31%

Hit -2.1% +4.0% 14%

Single -1.6% +2.8% 13%

2B / 3B -2.1% +2.5% 3%

Home Run +1.6% -1.3%

32.2% of Jeimer Candelario's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.2% lower than the league average. Logan Webb induces Standard Grounders at a 45.7% rate, which is 11.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder -2.2% +11.3% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.8% +0.9% 14%

Low Screamer +2.5% -4.2% 9%

Rising Liner +1.1% +2.0% 4%

Maybe Homer 0.0% -0.3% 3%

Likely Homer +0.2% -1.5% 1%

No Doubter -0.7% -0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.2% -6.4% 3%

Pop up 0.0% -1.5%

21.8% of Jeimer Candelario's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.5% lower than the league average. 28.0% of batted balls allowed by Logan Webb are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.1% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph +2.4% -2.7% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.8% -1.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph -0.6% 0.0% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.5% +3.7%

11.5% of Jeimer Candelario's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.0% higher than the league average. 5.9% of batted balls allowed by Logan Webb are hit at this angle, which is 5.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -0.9% +10.4% 12%

-10 to 0° -1.0% +1.3% 8%

1 to 6° -1.5% +1.0% 18%

7 to 18° +0.8% +2.3% 15%

19 to 28° +1.4% -2.1% 11%

29 to 38° +0.0% -5.5% 7%

39 to 50° +1.0% -2.4% 8%

Above 50° +0.2% -4.9%

Jeimer Candelario has 14 plate appearances against Logan Webb in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 14 with 2 strikeouts.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	14	14	3	0	0	3	2	0	0.214
Expected From Contact →			4.17	0.01	0.34	3.82			0.298

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2025-03-27	Single
2025-03-27	Single
2024-05-10	Flyout		2%	1%	97%
2024-05-10	Groundout			29%	70%
2024-05-10	Groundout		17%	3%	79%
2023-09-04	Lineout		12%	29%	59%
2023-09-04	Groundout			7%	93%
2023-09-04	Groundout			24%	75%
2023-07-22	Strikeout
2023-05-09	Groundout			7%	92%
2023-05-09	Groundout			20%	80%
2023-05-09	Groundout			18%	82%
2022-08-24	Strikeout
2022-08-24	Single			44%	55%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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